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Iran: A Regime with Nothing Left but Force

Africa - INTER PRESS SERVICE - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 19:49

Credit: Georgios Kostomitsopoulos/NurPhoto via Getty Images

By Inés M. Pousadela
MONTEVIDEO, Uruguay, Feb 24 2026 (IPS)

The Islamic Republic of Iran has put down another uprising, with a ferocity that makes previous crackdowns seem restrained. The theocratic regime has survived, but it has done so by substituting violence for the economic security it cannot provide and the political legitimacy it no longer has. Its show of force is also an admission of weakness.

The protests that began on 28 December were triggered by a specific event — the collapse of the rial to a record low — but rooted in years of accumulated grievances. The second half of 2025 alone saw at least 471 labour protests across 69 Iranian cities. Inflation stood at 49.4 per cent. The 12-day war with Israel in June sent the Tehran Stock Exchange down around 40 per cent and cost many people their jobs. The United Nations Security Council reimposed sanctions in September. The government cut fuel subsidies in November and slashed exchange-rate subsidies in December. Over 40 per cent of Iranian households now live below the poverty line and around half the population consume fewer than the recommended 2,100 calories per day.

It was this collapse that brought typically conservative bazaar merchants onto the streets. Within two weeks, the protests had spread to all of Iran’s 31 provinces, drawing in the urban middle class, working-class communities and people from rural provinces who had historically been among the regime’s most reliable supporters. What began as an economic stoppage rapidly became political defiance. For the millions who joined the striking merchants, the plummeting currency and rising cost of food were not market failures; they were proof of the regime’s corruption and ineptitude. Generation Z played a central role, demanding not reform but profound change. Lethal repression provided further confirmation the system was beyond reform.

The state’s response evolved. Initially it offered token economic concessions alongside its usual crowd control violence such as batons and teargas. When it became clear that a widespread movement with political demands had taken hold, it shifted to total attrition. On 8 January, authorities imposed a near-total internet shutdown and authorised security forces to use military-grade weapons against crowds. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) – a parallel military structure, major political force and economic empire with a direct stake in the regime’s survival – spearheaded the crackdown, with its affiliated Basij paramilitary networks playing a central role in street-level violence.

The casualty figures were deliberately obscured by the internet blackout, but all evidence points in the same direction. Hengaw Organisation for Human Rights reported that at least 3,000 civilians — including 44 children — were killed in the first 17 days. Iran Human Rights, citing Ministry of Health sources, documented a minimum of 3,379 deaths across 15 provinces. The US-based Human Rights Activists News Agency reported around 7,000 verified fatalities by mid-February, with 12,000 further cases under review. Time magazine cited hospital records suggesting the toll may have reached 30,000. Even the lowest of these figures vastly eclipses the 537 deaths recorded during the 2022-2023 Woman, Life, Freedom protests. Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei’s concession that ‘several thousand’ had been killed confirmed the order of magnitude.

By 16 January the streets had been cleared, but a quieter repressive campaign continued, with nighttime raids, enforced disappearances and mass detentions in unofficial holding sites outside the legal system, targeting not only protesters but also doctors who treated the wounded, lawyers who provided legal assistance, bystanders who helped and people who posted supportive statements online. Authorities have detained over 50,000 people. Revolutionary Courts have fast-tracked mass indictments through summary trials, often conducted online and lasting mere minutes, with defendants denied independent legal counsel and confessions extracted under torture. Eighteen-year-old Saleh Mohammadi, whose retracted confession was obtained after interrogators broke bones in his hand, has been sentenced to be publicly hanged at the site of his alleged crime. Dozens more face imminent execution.

The regime has, for now, held: its security forces have not fractured, there have been no significant elite defections, and the IRGC has maintained its capacity for suppression. But it rules over a country with a wrecked economy, a battered nuclear programme, weakened regional proxies and a population that has run out of reasons to comply. Each protest cycle has required a higher threshold of state violence to suppress, a sign the regime has no other tool left.

What prevents weakness from becoming collapse is the absence of any alternative. The international response briefly suggested external pressure might tell – but did not. Donald Trump told Iranian protesters that ‘help is on its way’. The European Union listed the IRGC as a terrorist organisation. The UK imposed fresh sanctions. The Iranian diaspora held at least 168 protests across 30 countries. But the international noise simply enabled the regime to spread the narrative that the uprising was foreign-directed.

The exiled opposition is fragmented along ethnic, ideological and generational lines, seemingly more consumed by internal rivalries than the task of converting widespread discontent into sustained political pressure. Inside Iran, the most credible opposition voices — Nobel laureate Narges Mohammadi, reformist politician Mostafa Tajzadeh and veteran leader Mir Hossein Mousavi — are imprisoned or cut off from public life.

A weakened regime facing a leaderless opposition can endure, but what it cannot do is reverse its decay. Violence may clear the streets, but it cannot rebuild the economy, restore trust or give Iran’s young people a reason to stay. The regime has bought time, at an ever-rising price, but the crisis it’s suppressed isn’t going away.

Inés M. Pousadela is CIVICUS Head of Research and Analysis, co-director and writer for CIVICUS Lens and co-author of the State of Civil Society Report. She is also a Professor of Comparative Politics at Universidad ORT Uruguay.

For interviews or more information, please contact research@civicus.org

 


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People’s Pursuit of Dignity, Equality and Justice is Unshakeable

Africa - INTER PRESS SERVICE - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 19:22

UN Secretary-General António Guterres speaks at the opening of the 61st session of the Human Rights Council at the Palais des Nations, in Geneva. Meanwhile, Volker Turk, UN High Commissioner for Human Rights, addresses (below) at the opening of the High-level segment of the Human Rights Council. Credit: UN Photo/Violaine Martin

By Volker Turk
GENEVA, Feb 24 2026 (IPS)

A fierce competition for power, control and resources is playing out on the world stage at a rate and intensity unseen for the past 80 years.

People are feeling unmoored, anxious and insecure. The gears of global power are shifting; the consequences are not clear. Some are signalling the end of the world order as we know it.

But today, I want to talk about another world order. One that is organised from the ground up, and that is unshakeable. A foundational system of how people relate to each other, based on our inherent worth, our hopes, and our common values.

I am referring to people’s pursuit of dignity, equality, and justice. This quest is innate to what makes us human: to be free, to be heard, and to have our basic needs met.

And it is a strong counterbalance to the top-down, autocratic trends we see today. The use of force to resolve disputes between and within countries is becoming normalized.

Inflammatory threats against sovereign nations are thrown about, with no regard to the fire they could ignite. The laws of war are being brutally violated.

Mass civilian suffering – from Sudan, to Gaza, to Ukraine, to Myanmar – is unfolding before our eyes. In Sudan, there needs to be accountability for all violations by all parties – notably, the war crimes and possible crimes against humanity committed by the Rapid Support Forces in El Fasher. Such atrocities must not be repeated in Kordofan or elsewhere. All those with influence need to act urgently to put an end to this senseless war.

The situation in Gaza remains catastrophic. Palestinians are still dying from Israeli fire, cold, hunger, and treatable diseases. The aid allowed in is not enough to meet the massive needs. There are concerns over ethnic cleansing in both Gaza and the West Bank, where Israel is accelerating efforts to consolidate unlawful annexation. Any sustainable solution must be based on two states living side by side in equal dignity and rights, in line with UN resolutions and international law.

Tomorrow marks four years since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Four interminable and agonizing years. Civilian casualties have soared, and Russia’s systematic attacks on Ukraine’s energy and water infrastructure could amount to international crimes. The fighting needs to end, and I urge a focus on human rights and justice in any ceasefire or peace agreement.

In Myanmar, five years after the military coup, the awful conflict is claiming even more civilian lives, and the humanitarian situation continues to deteriorate. The recent elections staged by the military have only deepened people’s despair.

Across most violent conflicts today, journalists, health and aid workers are targeted, in blatant violation of international law. These actions must not be allowed to harden into the new normal.

States need to be persistent objectors to violations of the law – by pursuing accountability, and by clearly denouncing these egregious crimes with consistency, and without exception.

Meanwhile, violence and tensions are resurging in some countries, including South Sudan and Ethiopia. And authorities in Iran have violently repressed mass protests with lethal force, killing thousands.

I will provide more detail on these and other country situations in my global update later this week. Developments around the world point to a deeply worrying trend: domination and supremacy are making a comeback.

If we listen to the rhetoric of some leaders, what lurks behind it is a belief that they are above the law, and above the UN Charter. They claim exceptional status, exceptional danger or exceptional moral judgement to pursue their own agenda at any cost. And why wouldn’t they try, when they are unlikely to face consequences?

They build and sustain systems that perpetuate inequalities within and between countries. Some weaponise their economic leverage. They spread disinformation to distract, silence and marginalize.

A tight clique of tech tycoons controls an outsize proportion of global information flows, distorting public debate, markets, and even governance systems. Corporate and state interests ravage our environment, robbing the riches of the earth for their own gain.

But at the same time, people are not watching all this from the sidelines. They are activating their power, from the ground up. Women and young people especially are leading these movements.

They are claiming their right to basic living conditions, to fair pay, to bodily autonomy, to self-determination, to be heard, to vote freely, and many other rights. From Nepal to Madagascar, from Serbia to Peru and beyond, people are demanding equality and denouncing corruption.

Neighbours and communities are standing up for each other – sometimes even risking their lives. People are protesting war and injustice in places far from home, expressing solidarity and pressuring their governments to act.

They see human rights as a practical force for good – and they are right. Human rights are anathema to supremacy: they are a direct challenge to those who seek and cling to power. That is what makes human rights radical, and that is what gives them force.

They are universal, timeless, and indestructible.

Human rights didn’t magically appear with the Universal Declaration on 10 December 1948.
People have been seeking freedom and equality long before these principles were codified in national or international agreements.

In the late 1700s, enslaved people in modern-day Haiti rose up against colonial rule, in the name of racial equality. The American and French revolutions challenged unaccountable authority. The Abolitionist movement was a rejection of the Transatlantic slave trade – the most brutal system of subjugation.

In the early 1900s, women joined together to demand the right to vote. The fight for gender equality continues. After the bloodshed of two World Wars and the Holocaust, the UN Charter reasserted faith in fundamental human rights, and in the dignity and worth of the human person.

The 20th century then ushered in a period of decolonization, which reaffirmed the right to self-determination. People mobilized to end racial segregation, for labour rights, and to protect the rights of LGBT people.

Mothers marched together to seek justice for their disappeared children, from Argentina to Sri Lanka to Syria. And young people raised their voices for climate justice.

Human rights are the thread that runs through all these movements. And we do not take their achievements for granted. Tyranny will seize any chance and exploit any opening. We must keep standing up for human rights, in solidarity with each other.

When we come together, we wield more power than any autocrat or tech billionaire. The struggle for human rights can never be derailed by the whims of a handful of leaders with reactionary, supremacist agendas.

While some States are weakening the multilateral system, we need bolder and more joined-up responses.

First, this means calling out violations of international law, regardless of the perpetrators. Too often, denouncing violations by one party is labelled as siding with the enemy. In reality, it is upholding universality, and the pursuit of justice for all.

The alternative – selective, fragmented responses – weakens international law and hurts us all.
The entire human rights ecosystem is designed to promote universality and ensure consistency. This includes the tools mandated by this Council. I condemn all attacks against them.

Second, we need stronger commitment to accountability. This includes strengthening the International Criminal Court and encouraging national prosecutions under the principle of universal jurisdiction. We need to increase the cost of breaking international law.

Third, let’s forge coalitions to champion what unites us, and uphold equality, dignity, and justice for all. We must protect the diversity of the human family and demonstrate what we gain by standing together.

In the coming weeks, we will set in motion a Global Alliance for Human Rights to capture the energy and commitment that is palpable everywhere.

This will be a cross-regional, multi-stakeholder coalition of States, businesses, cities, philanthropists, scientists, artists, philosophers, young people and civil society.

It will confront top-down domination with grassroots solidarity and support. It will represent the quiet majority, who want a different world. Human rights are not political currency, and they are not up for grabs.

Our future depends on our joint commitment to defend every person’s rights, every time, everywhere.

https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/02/1167015

IPS UN Bureau

 


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5 mesures d'urgence pour la souveraineté numérique africaine

24 Heures au Bénin - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 19:04

L'entrepreneur technologique et analyste des dynamiques géopolitiques numériques Bembong Ngala Francis Gildes adresse une lettre ouverte à la Commission de l'Union Africaine. Le professionnel du numérique alerte sur l'extraction massive des données africaines via l'IA et les risques liés au CLOUD Act américain.

Categories: Africa, Afrique

AMENDMENTS 1 - 47 - Draft report Global Gateway -– past impacts and future orientation - PE785.126v01-00

AMENDMENTS 1 - 47 - Draft report Global Gateway -– past impacts and future orientation
Committee on Foreign Affairs
Committee on Development
Hildegard Bentele, Chloé Ridel

Source : © European Union, 2026 - EP
Categories: Africa, European Union

Le retour de Mourinho à Madrid, le choc des titans de la Ligue 1 et plus encore : pariez sur les affiches clés de la C1 européenne !

24 Heures au Bénin - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 16:15

Les 24 et 25 février donneront lieu aux matchs retour de la plus prestigieuse compétition de clubs d'Europe. Le meilleur site de paris sportifs international, 1xBet, propose une pléthore de marchés et les meilleures cotes pour ces rencontres. Pariez de manière responsable via le lien et gagnez gros !

Inter - Bodø/Glimt, 24 février

Le finaliste de la dernière édition de la Ligue des champions quittera la compétition dès les barrages. L'équipe de Cristian Chivu s'est inclinée 1-3 sur une pelouse synthétique inhabituelle à Bodø. Selon le manager des Nerazzurri, le mauvais état du terrain peut être blâmé.

L'Inter se trouve dans une situation délicate. Cependant, la formation a inscrit 11 buts lors de ses trois derniers matchs à domicile et est tout à fait capable de renverser la situation. Déplorable nouvelle : Lautaro Martínez sera absent pour ce match suite à une blessure contractée en Norvège.

L'euphorie est palpable à Bodø/Glimt. Après la rencontre, l'entraîneur Kjetil Knutsen a déclaré que ses pépites avaient livré une prestation moyenne. Si les Norvégiens parviennent à conserver leur avantage au score lors du match retour, une série télévisée pourrait bien être réalisée sur cette histoire.

V1 - 1,302, X - 6,96, V2 - 9,65.

Paris Saint-Germain - AS Monaco, 25 février

Menés 2-0, avec des penalties non transformés et la blessure de leur leader en milieu de première mi-temps, peu de signes suggéraient le retournement de situation après un tel début. Pourtant, pour le Paris Saint-Germain, partenaire officiel de 1xBet, le ciel est la limite. Lors du match aller contre Monaco, les Parisiens avaient égalisé avant même la pause, avant de s'imposer en seconde période.

Monaco a prouvé qu'il pouvait surprendre n'importe quel adversaire, mais pour le match retour, les locaux aborderont la rencontre avec une concentration maximale dès les premières minutes. Les statistiques ne sont pas en faveur des Monégasques : ils n'ont pris le dessus sur les Rouge et Bleu qu'une seule fois sur la pelouse du PSG ces neuf dernières années.

Le groupe de Luis Enrique est la grande favorite de ce match retour et tentera de se rapprocher de la défense de sa couronne.

V1 - 1,29, X - 6,55, V2 - 11,4.

Real Madrid - Benfica, 25 février

José Mourinho fait son retour à Madrid, mais nous ne le verrons pas sur le banc. Le Portugais a écopé d'un carton rouge lors d'un match tendu à Lisbonne, et même cela ne l'a pas aidé à voler la vedette ce soir-là. La gloire est revenue à Vinícius Júnior. Le Brésilien a inscrit un superbe but en seconde période, a célébré sa victoire en performant une danse triomphale près du poteau de corner orné du logo de Benfica, a essuyé des insultes, et finalement, ces incidents ont davantage fait parler d'eux que le jeu lui-même.

Malgré ce succès étriqué, le Real n'a pas semblé supérieur à son adversaire. Les « Aigles » ont régulièrement pris le contrôle du ballon et contraint Thibaut Courtois à des arrêts exceptionnels.

Avant le match aller, José Mourinho avait déclaré souhaiter ce score pour permettre à son équipe de se battre pour la progression ultérieure en compétition à Madrid. Il a obtenu gain de cause, mais on a le sentiment que la plus grande partie de sa magie footballistique s'est concentrée sur le but d'Anatoliy Trubin en phase de groupes.

V1 - 1,494, X - 5,08, V2 - 6,7.

Juventus - Galatasaray, 25 février

Luciano Spalletti a affirmé que ses hommes se rendaient à Istanbul pour gagner, mais le score final de 2-5 compromet sérieusement leurs chances d'atteindre les huitièmes de finale. Barış Yılmaz a tout simplement anéanti le flanc gauche de la défense adverse, d'où provenaient la plupart des occasions dangereuses pour la Juventus.

À Turin, Galatasaray ne bénéficiera pas d'un soutien offensif aussi précieux. Cependant, l'équipe se montre au meilleur de sa forme : lors des cinq premiers matchs de février, les Lions ont fait trembler les filets 20 fois.

Beaucoup pensent que la qualification de la Juventus pour le tour suivant relèvera du miracle. Pourtant, lors de cette édition de la Ligue des champions, Galatasaray a déjà subi une branlée face à l'Eintracht, une équipe pourtant considérée comme faible, sur le score de 1-5. Les Turinois doivent donc avoir confiance en leurs capacités.

V1 - 1,564, X - 4,925, V2 - 5,78.

Nous espérons que notre analyse vous aidera à faire des pronostics gagnants. Jouez de manière responsable, pariez sur le meilleur site de paris sportifs international, 1xBet, en suivant le lien, et partagez la victoire avec vos favoris !

Categories: Africa, Afrique

L'entrée au FInAB est gratuite ce mardi 24 février

24 Heures au Bénin - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 14:35

Le Festival international des arts du Bénin (FInAB), grand évènement culturel et artistique se poursuit au Family Beach de Cotonou. La participation ce mardi 24 février 2026, est totalement gratuite.

Ce mardi 24 février 2026, le FInAB s'offre gratuitement au public. Les tickets d'entrée selon les organisateurs, sont offerts par NSIA Banque, l'un des partenaires de l'évènement. Conférences débats, divers jeux et animations, vernissage, Chill & Showtimes DJ, et plusieurs autres activités vont rythmer cette journée spéciale. Seul ou entre amis, c'est le moment parfait pour découvrir la richesse des talents, soutenir les artistes, capturer du contenu incroyable et vibrer au rythme de l'art béninois.
Démarré vendredi 20 février 2026, le FInAB se poursuit jusqu'au 1er mars prochain.

F. A. A.

Categories: Africa, Afrique

Talon dans le Comité de campagne du duo Wadagni-Talata

24 Heures au Bénin - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 14:18

À moins de deux mois de l'élection présidentielle du 12 avril 2026, la mouvance présidentielle béninoise a rendu publique la liste des membres de l'équipe de campagne du duo de candidats formé par Romuald Wadagni et Mariam Chabi Talata.

Le pilotage de la campagne du duo de candidats Romuald Wadagni et Mariam Chabi Talata à la présidentielle du 12 avril prochain est confié à un Comité Stratégique composé des figures de proue de la majorité.

On y retrouve notamment le Président Patrice Talon ; Joseph Djogbénou, président de l'Union Progressiste le Renouveau (UP-R) et président de l'Assemblée nationale ; Abdoulaye Bio Tchané, secrétaire national du Bloc Républicain (BR).

Au poste de Directeur de Campagne, le député Assan Seibou sera assisté d'une équipe de coordination nationale incluant des ministres en exercice et des députés influents. Il s'agit des députés Orden Alladatin ; Aké Natondé ; Sofiath Schanou ; Barthélemy Kassa ; Joseph Anani ; Chantal Ahyi et le ministre des sports Bénoît Dato.

Un maillage territorial des 24 Circonscriptions Electorales

La stratégie repose sur un quadrillage des 24 Circonscriptions Electorales. Pour chacune d'elles, des binômes de responsables ont été désignés afin d'assurer l'animation et la mobilisation locales.

Dans le nord, des responsables comme Bio Guera Saka Kina et Bani Chabi Tijani sont chargés de coordonner les activités de campagne.

Dans le sud, le député et maire honoraire de Cotonou, Luc Atrokpo, le député et ex ministre du Tourisme, de la Culture et des Arts, Jean-Michel Abimbola, figurent parmi les personnalités mobilisées.

Pour encadrer la campagne, plusieurs comités spécialisés ont été mis en place, notamment un comité des finances, placé sous la responsabilité de William Tchékpé ; un comité technique chargé des médias, ainsi qu'un comité logistique en charge de l'organisation des déplacements et des rassemblements. Le comité chargé des médias est composé de Zinath Glèlè ; Anique Djimadja et Euloge Nanga.

Le tandem Wadagni-Talata se présente comme le garant de la poursuite des réformes engagées ces dernières années sous le leadership du président sortant Patrice Talon.

Categories: Africa, Afrique

Que sait-on de l'opération qui a conduit à la mort d'"El Mencho", le trafiquant de drogue le plus recherché par le Mexique et les États-Unis ?

BBC Afrique - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 14:16
Les forces armées mexicaines ont mené une opération dans le sud de l'État de Jalisco qui a abouti à la capture et à la mort de Nemesio Oseguera, alias "El Mencho", le baron de la drogue le plus recherché par le Mexique et les États-Unis.
Categories: Africa, Afrique

Prédictions de performance pour les équipes de la CAF Champions League

24 Heures au Bénin - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 13:45

Les résultats passés et les données actuelles permettent de prévoir avec exactitude. Des sites comme https://1xbet.sn/fr fournissent des données précises qui permettent d'évaluer les tendances et la performance des équipes. Une étude approfondie des performances et des formations permet de prévoir l'évolution du championnat et de cibler les clubs les plus forts.

Quelles sont les raisons des performances cette saison ?

Les performances sont influencées par plusieurs facteurs. Les plans de jeu changent et impactent directement le rendement de l'équipe. Si une formation reste performante, elle a un avantage important. La stabilité des performances est également influencée par les blessures de joueurs majeurs, les suspensions et les changements dans le club. La possession du ballon, les occasions créées et le rapport entre les buts marqués et les buts encaissés illustrent clairement la solidité structurelle d'une équipe compétitive.
Les analystes examinent aussi la cohérence tactique afin de discerner les formations capables de maintenir un niveau constant sur plusieurs matchs successifs. Si les données statistiques convergent avec les résultats observés, elles confirment la fiabilité des projections établies par les spécialistes. L'accès à des informations actualisées, notamment via https://1xbet.sn/fr/registration, permet d'observer les variations de performance et de contextualiser les tendances récentes. Cette observation continue aide à déceler des signaux faibles qui annoncent parfois une progression ou un déclin imminent.

Comment analyser les joueurs avant chaque rencontre ?

Le travail commence par l'analyse du passé récent des clubs. Si un groupe gagne contre des équipes de la même catégorie, son énergie influence directement la prochaine rencontre. Pour une meilleure compréhension, les données anciennes sont combinées avec les indicateurs actuels. Les informations personnelles des joueurs permettent d'identifier des points forts ou des faiblesses particuliers qui influencent la performance globale. Les conditions de succès sont différentes selon l'équipe.

Quels sont les principaux types de formation ?

Il s'impose avec stabilité tactique et diversité de son équipe. Si les meilleurs joueurs sont en forme, le groupe va continuer à performer dans toutes les phases du tournoi. Le Zamalek est également un rival fiable. D'autres équipes en forte croissance, telles que les clubs nigérians et marocains, évoluent rapidement, mais leur instabilité rend difficile la mise en place de pronostic.

Les statistiques influencent-elles l'estimation des performances ?

Statistiquement, les chances de succès sont bonnes. En possession, en tirs précis ou en efficacité offensive, une équipe sera plus susceptible de gagner des matchs. Les défenses fortes réduisent la quantité de buts qu'elles inscrivent et renforcent leur stabilité, tandis que les défenses faibles sont variables. Les experts mettent également en avant une corrélation entre l'approche tactique et le succès lors des phases d'élimination directe.

Une liste de facteurs clés

Plus de performance :

  • Stabilité tactique et unité de l'équipe
  • Meilleure forme des grands joueurs
  • Récits de victoire en tournoi africain
  • Adaptabilité aux conditions de jeu
  • Efficacité défensive et offensive

La performance est limitée :

  1. Inconstance dans les dernières analyses.
  2. Absences prolongées de cadres importants.
  3. Récurrence stratégique ou compositionnelle
  4. Déplacements et rencontres sur les terrains des concurrents.
  5. Défense insuffisante ou manque de coordination collective.

C'est quoi les performances ?

L'analyse des données de plusieurs matchs révèle les principales tendances. Si les résultats sont identiques sur de nombreuses plateformes, cela confirme l'analyse des experts sur le potentiel d'une entreprise. Des différences plus importantes suggèrent des questions sur des événements particuliers, comme un arrêt ou une modification stratégique.
Ces constats permettent d'établir une hiérarchie et d'identifier des détails souvent occultés dans des analyses simples. De plus, suivre les résultats lors du tournoi permet de voir l'évolution réelle des équipes. Enfin, la relation entre les performances nouvelles et les changements tactiques permet d'établir une étude détaillée de la dynamique de la concurrence.

Que pouvons-nous apprendre de la CAF Cup ?

Les projections chiffrées anticipent la concurrence. Les équipes qui sont les plus susceptibles de se qualifier sont : Quelques équipes en développement présentent un fort potentiel de croissance et surprennent, bien qu'elles soient plus jeunes. L'analyse systématique des performances permet de réduire les doutes et d'afficher les forces et faiblesses de chaque équipe.

Categories: Africa, Afrique

Loneliness on Planet Earth

Africa - INTER PRESS SERVICE - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 13:38

Chronic loneliness and social isolation have been consistently linked to detrimental effects on physical and mental health and increased risk of early death. Credit: Shutterstock

By Joseph Chamie
PORTLAND, USA, Feb 24 2026 (IPS)

Loneliness is a significant health concern on planet Earth. It affects virtually every aspect of human wellbeing and development worldwide.

As loneliness knows no borders and impacts individuals of all ages and socio-economic background, it has become a major public health issue. Social isolation is now being taken seriously enough to prompt intervention by governments, international agencies, institutions, and communities.

Chronic loneliness and social isolation have been consistently linked to detrimental effects on physical and mental health and increased risk of early death. The World Health Organization (WHO) has recognized loneliness as a pressing global health threat and a defining challenge of our time.

To address this problem, WHO launched an international commission on social connection in November 2023. The commission aimed to have loneliness recognized and resourced as a global public health priority.

The commission issued a report in June 2025 that highlighted three messages. First, social disconnection is widespread, across all regions and age groups. Second, its impacts are severe, affecting health, well-being, and development. And third, solutions exist and should be scaled up urgently.

Additionally, in a 2023 report, the U.S. Surgeon General reported that loneliness increases one’s risk for cardiovascular disease, dementia, stroke, and premature death. Persistent loneliness was reported to be worse for your health than being sedentary or obese and is similar to smoking more than half a pack of cigarettes a day.

The complex interactions among societal changes, technological advancements, especially artificial intelligence, and the Covid-19 pandemic, which reduced economic and social activities, have contributed to increasing levels of loneliness and social isolation. People are meeting in person less frequently than in the past, while self-reported feelings of connection have recently shown signs of worsening.

According to a 2023 Meta-Gallup global survey encompassing 142 countries, 24% of those aged 15 and older, totaling 1.5 billion people worldwide, reported feeling very lonely or fairly lonely on a regular basis. Additionally, 27% or 1.7 billion people reported feeling a little lonely, while 49% or 3 billion people reported not feeling lonely at all (Figure 1).

Source: Meta-Gallup Survey.

Those surveyed who reported feeling lonely were 36 percentage points more likely to experience sadness than those who did not feel lonely. They were also 30 percentage points more likely to experience worry and stress compared to their counterparts who did not experience loneliness. These findings underscore the significant physical and mental health effects of frequent feelings of loneliness and social isolation.

The level of loneliness reported in the 2023 Gallup poll varies significantly across countries, ranging from a high of 45% in Comoros to a low of 6% in Vietnam. In 22 countries, the percentage of adults who felt lonely the day before exceeded 30%, with more than half of them located in Africa (Figure 2).

Source: Gallup Survey.

While loneliness varies significantly among countries, no country is immune to it. Loneliness is not just seen as a personal challenge, but also as a matter of public policy.

Loneliness affects all age groups, but young adults seem to be the most vulnerable. Around 30% of them report feeling lonely every day, with about 63% experiencing significant symptoms of anxiety and depression related to loneliness

Loneliness affects all age groups, but young adults seem to be the most vulnerable. Around 30% of them report feeling lonely every day, with about 63% experiencing significant symptoms of anxiety and depression related to loneliness.

Among older adults, feelings of loneliness decrease, with about 17% of those aged 65 and older reporting loneliness. However, many older adults face isolation due to factors such as declining health, loss of social connections, or decreased mobility. Loneliness is also linked to increased risks of developing dementia, coronary artery disease or stroke.

A follow-up international survey conducted by Gallup in 2024 found that 23% of respondents felt lonely “a lot of the day” just the day before the survey. Additionally, approximately one in five employees worldwide reported experiencing loneliness a lot the previous day.

Moreover, loneliness is more prevalent among employees under the age of 35 than those aged 35 and older. Loneliness also contributes to significant economic and social strain, reducing productivity, and impacting education.

The Gallup survey found that financial status has a strong effect on loneliness worldwide. Men and women who are struggling financially, meaning they find it difficult to get by on their present income, are about twice as likely as those who are better off financially to say they felt lonely a lot the previous day. Additionally, unmarried individuals are more likely to feel lonely than those who are married or in a domestic partnership.

Social isolation and chronic loneliness have long-term negative consequences on the physical and mental health of individuals. Health studies have found that the risk of mortality among people who lack community and social ties is two times greater than that of people who have many social contacts. A WHO report found that loneliness is linked to an estimated 100 deaths every hour, totaling more than 871,000 deaths annually.

Other effects of loneliness and social isolation include a shortened lifespan, cognitive decline, exacerbated mental illness, reduced quality of sleep, higher stress and anxiety levels, adoption of unhealthy habits, and self-loathing thoughts. Strong social connections can lead to better health and reduce the effects of loneliness (Table 1).

Source: Author’s compilation based on health studies.

A variety of factors can contribute to an individual experiencing loneliness, and the scope, duration, and intensity of loneliness can vary. In many cases, there is no single cause, but rather a number of factors that can overlap and intensify each other.

Some of the factors contributing to loneliness are internal, while others are external. Internal factors often involve the way people see themselves and the world around them. They can also include shyness, introversion, low self-esteem, lack of communication skills, and social withdrawal. On the other hand, external factors include physical isolation, relocation, bereavement, divorce, physical disabilities, social exclusion, and over-reliance on social media.

Interacting with another person, even a stranger, can significantly reduce loneliness. Conversely, doing nothing to address social isolation tends to increase loneliness.

Some studies suggest that interacting with an AI companion can reduce loneliness.

Advocates argue that the latest AI chatbots might provide better company than many real people and societies should consider the benefits that AI companions could offer to those who are lonely. Soon, some believe, the most interesting, and maybe the most empathetic conversation that an individual could have will be with AI on almost any topic.

Instead of reacting with horror, advocates of AI chatbots suggest that societies should consider the benefits that AI companions could provide to those who are lonely. Some AI promoters maintain that an inability to relate to humans should not be viewed as a defect, but rather as a virtue.

AI chatbots are becoming increasingly popular as preferred confidants and companions. For example, a study of younger individuals discovered that one-third of teenagers use AI chatbots for social interaction. These teenagers have stated a preference for AI companions over humans for serious conversations, finding them more fulfilling than conversations with actual people.

Nevertheless, there are concerns about using AI companions to address loneliness. Health experts are warning that many individuals, particularly the youth, are developing emotional connections to AI chatbot companions.

Despite these concerns, individuals, especially young people, are seeking companionship and emotional support from AI chatbots. Some fear that relying on AI companions may result in younger generations forming emotional bonds with entities that lack the ability to empathize and care.

By recognizing the signs of loneliness, engaging in meaningful activities, and seeking professional assistance, individuals may be able to reduce their feelings of loneliness and social isolation. A combination of behavioral changes, social intervention, and professional support can be helpful in dealing with loneliness.

Additionally, managing stress resulting from loneliness can be facilitated by exercising, eating healthy, and getting enough sleep. Pursuing enjoyable hobbies and activities may also offer a distraction from loneliness.

Communicating one’s loneliness to family, friends, and colleagues can strengthen existing relationships and provide emotional support. To manage feelings of loneliness, it is also helpful for individuals to remain open to making new connections, stay healthy, and seek professional assistance.

Loneliness is a complex and pervasive issue that exists worldwide. However, there are ways to manage and address it. Methods aimed at reducing loneliness exist at the national, community, family, and individual levels. These methods include increasing awareness and modifying government policies to strengthen social infrastructure, foster inclusivity, and provide psychological support.

Joseph Chamie is a consulting demographer, a former director of the United Nations Population Division, and author of many publications on population issues.

 

La CRIET maintient en détention l'ex député Soumaïla Sounon

24 Heures au Bénin - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 13:29

La Cour de Répression des Infractions Economiques et du Terrorisme (CRIET) a rejeté, lundi 23 février 2026, la demande de mise en liberté provisoire de l'ancien député Soumaïla Sounon Boké.

Incarcéré dans le cadre de l'enquête sur la tentative de coup d'État du 7 décembre 2025, l'ex député Soumaïla Sounon Boké est maintenu derrière les barreaux.

La Cour de Répression des Infractions Economiques et du Terrorisme (CRIET) a opposé une fin de non-recevoir à la demande de l'ex député du parti Les Démocrates.

Malgré les arguments de la défense plaidant pour une comparution libre, le juge d'instruction a ordonné le maintien sous mandat de dépôt.

Arrêté le 23 décembre 2025, Soumaïla Sounon Boké est poursuivi pour « apologie de crime contre la sûreté de l'État » et « incitation à la rébellion ».

L'instruction se poursuit pour déterminer le degré de participation de chaque acteur dans cette tentative de renversement du pouvoir.

Pour l'heure, aucune date de procès n'a été avancée par le parquet spécial.
M. M.

Categories: Africa, Afrique

Un commissariat attaqué à l'aube à Kouandé

24 Heures au Bénin - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 13:25

Un commissariat de la ville de Kouandé a été la cible d'une attaque armée aux premières heures de ce mardi 24 février 2026.

Entre 6h50 et 7h25 ce mardi 24 février 2026, des individus armés non identifiés ont ouvert le feu avant d'incendier un poste de police de la ville de Kouandé. « Nous avons été réveillés par des détonations. Ensuite, nous avons vu de la fumée s'élever du commissariat », a confié un riverain, à une radio locale.

Selon les mêmes sources, les assaillants seraient arrivés par l'axe de Guilmaro avant de se replier en direction de Sékogourou après leur opération.

Aucun bilan officiel n'a pour l'heure été communiqué par les autorités. D'importants dégâts matériels ont été enregistrés suite à l'incendie du bâtiment de la Police républicaine.

Dans la foulée, un dispositif de ratissage a été déployé par les forces de défense et de sécurité afin de sécuriser la zone et de retrouver les auteurs de l'attaque.
M. M.

Categories: Africa, Afrique

Une femme arrêtée avec des stupéfiants cachés sous une ''fausse grossesse''

24 Heures au Bénin - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 13:09

Au poste frontalier Bénin-Nigéria de Sèmè-Kraké, une femme se faisant passer pour enceinte a été interpellée alors qu'elle transportait des stupéfiants dissimulés sous ses vêtements.

Une femme se faisant passer pour enceinte a été interpellée au poste frontalier de Sèmè-Kraké, principal corridor de passage entre le Bénin et le Nigeria.

Selon les premières informations recueillies auprès des services de sécurité, les agents auraient été alertés par l'attitude suspecte de la voyageuse lors d'un contrôle de routine.

La suspecte simulait une grossesse en portant un faux ventre à l'intérieur duquel étaient cachés plusieurs paquets de produits prohibés. La cargaison était destinée à la ville de Cotonou.

La femme à la fausse grossesse est actuellement en garde à vue pour nécessité d'enquête.

Les autorités n'ont pas encore communiqué sur la nature exacte ni la quantité des substances saisies. Une enquête a été ouverte afin d'identifier d'éventuels complices et de déterminer l'origine du réseau.

Les services douaniers et policiers multiplient les contrôles ces derniers mois dans cette zone considérée comme stratégique pour les échanges commerciaux, mais également sensible en matière de trafics illicites.
M. M.

Categories: Africa, Afrique

Iréné Agossa nommé porte-parole de l'UP-R

24 Heures au Bénin - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 12:30

La Direction Exécutive Nationale (DEN) de l'Union Progressiste le Renouveau (UP-R) a désigné, lundi 23 février 2026, Iréné Agossa comme porte-parole du parti, selon une décision rendue publique à l'issue de sa séance hebdomadaire.

Iréné Josias Agossa est le nouveau porte-parole du parti Union Progressiste le Renouveau (UP-R). Il a été désigné, lundi 23 février 2026, par la Direction Exécutive Nationale (DEN) du parti.

Figure connue du paysage politique béninois, Iréné Josias Agossa a fondé en 2022 le parti Restaurer La Confiance (RLC), dont il assurait la présidence, avec pour ambition de participer aux élections. Un an plus tard, en mai 2023, le RLC a été dissous à l'issue d'un congrès extraordinaire, actant le ralliement de ses responsables à l'UP-R. Ce repositionnement consacrait l'ancrage de Iréné Agossa au sein de la mouvance présidentielle.

Avant la création du RLC, Iréné Josias Agossa avait également milité au sein du parti d'opposition Les Démocrates, qu'il avait quitté à la suite de divergences internes.

Avec cette nomination, Iréné Josias Agossa va assurer officiellement la communication politique de l'UP-R, relayer les positions du parti dans le débat public et servir d'interface à l'approche de l'élection présidentielle du 12 avril 2026.
M. M.

Categories: Africa, Afrique

Press release - Parliament stands firm with Ukraine four years into Russia’s full-scale invasion

On Tuesday, Ukraine President Volodymyr Zelenskyy addressed MEPs at an extraordinary plenary session, four years on from the launch of Russia’s full-scale invasion.
Committee on Foreign Affairs

Source : © European Union, 2026 - EP
Categories: Africa, European Union

Why and how do researchers communicate environmental issues facing Arctic marine mammals?

O que você imagina quando pensa no Ártico? O que você imagina quando pondera sobre a crise climática? Para muitos, a resposta para ambas as perguntas é simples: ursos-polares. Os ursos-polares há muito tempo atuam como embaixadores do Ártico
e, nas décadas mais recentes, da crise climática. Embora os ursos-polares sejam os representantes mais conhecidos da região polar, outros animais do Ártico — como focas, morsas ou baleias — podem assumir papéis representativos semelhantes. 

‘Nothing Compares to Human Lives Lost’ – Reflections on Ukraine War

Africa - INTER PRESS SERVICE - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 08:00

Ukrainian Red Cross teams have delivered over 3,300 hot meals to Kyiv residents at support points around the city. Credit: Red Cross

By Ed Holt
BRATISLAVA, Feb 24 2026 (IPS)

“We have a saying here in Ukraine now – ‘young people meet at their friends’ funerals rather than at weddings.’ It’s sad, but very true.”

As Russia’s full-scale invasion of her country moves into its fifth year, Iryna Yakova, 29, is looking back at how her life has changed over the past four years.

Speaking from Lviv, the western Ukrainian city where she lives, she tells IPS that her “values and attitude towards life” have changed. “Material things become unimportant when your loved ones or friends are in danger,” she says. She has also developed a keen sense of her national identity and an empathy for the suffering of her fellow Ukrainians.

“During the full-scale invasion, I realised that all of Ukraine is my home. I cry for people who were killed by a missile in Kyiv while they were sleeping at night. Even though I didn’t know them, it hurts me because they are Ukrainians. It also pains me to see children growing up without their parents because their parents are at the front. The war has intensified my sense of empathy and belonging.”

Her mental health has suffered. She says anxiety is ever-present in her life.

But what she returns to often as she answers questions about how her life is today compared to before the war is the loss she, and others, have experienced.

“What I miss most [from my life before the full-scale invasion] are the people who have been killed in the war. I have lost friends, acquaintances, and relatives. Nothing compares to human loss. The hardest thing I have had to deal with during this war is going to the funerals of friends — people you used to go to parties with, travel with, study with,” she says.

The human cost of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has been enormous – Ukraine’s government does not officially give figures for military casualties, but it has been estimated they could be up to 600,000 (Russian military casualties are thought to be more than twice that amount).

But the scale of civilian casualties has been huge, too. According to UN bodies, more than 15,000 civilians have been killed and over 41,000 injured in Ukraine since the start of the invasion on February 24, 2022.

Worryingly, as Ukraine marks the fourth anniversary of the start of the war, research suggests there has been a sharp increase in civilian casualties over the last year.

Data from Action on Armed Violence (AOAV), released earlier this month, showed civilian casualties in Ukraine increased by 26 percent in 2025 compared with 2024, despite there being a 6 percent drop in the number of injurious explosive weapon incidents recorded nationwide.

In Kyiv, response efforts continue amid attacks on energy infrastructure and severe cold. The Ukrainian Red Cross is supporting warming centres around the clock, providing people with a safe place to warm up, receive assistance, and feel cared for during difficult conditions. Credit: Red Cross

The group said its data showed a worrying shift in the character of the conflict – the average number of civilians killed or injured per incident in Ukraine rose 33 percent over the year, with a total of 2,248 civilians reported killed (an 11 percent rise) and 12,493 injured (a 28 percent rise) by explosive violence.

This suggests that explosive weapons are being used by Russia in Ukraine in ways that generate greater civilian impact, whether through more drone strikes, heavier munitions, specific targeting choices of populated areas, or repeated strikes on urban infrastructure, the group said.

Nearly seven in ten civilian casualties recorded in AOAV data occurred in residential neighbourhoods, up from just over four in ten in 2024.

Niamh Gillen, a researcher at AOAV, told IPS it was impossible to definitively say that Russian forces were deliberately targeting Ukrainian civilians, but that “the data speaks for itself.”

“It shows that civilian areas are being attacked, that the attacks are occurring within civilian areas like hospitals, schools, cities, towns. In general, in areas where civilians are heavily concentrated, like cities and towns, villages, anywhere like that, if you’re using an explosive weapon with wide area impacts, then you’re likely to harm more civilians,” she said.

On top of the deaths and destruction Russian attacks have caused, they have also led to massive displacement. It is thought that at least 3.4 million people are internally displaced in the country. This has put massive pressure not just on the displaced themselves, but also on host communities and services.

People’s physical health has deteriorated in such conditions – the World Health Organisation (WHO) has said that more than two-thirds of the population have reported a worsening of their health since the start of the invasion.

But the harm caused by these attacks is far from just physical. Mental health professionals in the country, as well as international bodies including the WHO, have warned of a mental health crisis in Ukraine, with possibly up to 10 million people suffering with mental health problems.

IPS spoke to scores of people in cities and towns across Ukraine about how the war had affected their mental health. Many spoke of experiencing anxiety, sometimes permanently to some level, which could be intensified at any moment by the frequent sound of air raid sirens warning of an attack, or for those closer to frontlines, the sounds of explosions and bombings.

“What affects my mental health on a daily basis are the constant nighttime drone and missile attacks. Because of them, it is impossible to relax or get proper rest, as reaching a shelter for safety is essential, even at night,” Mihail*, a teenager who lives in the Kyiv region, told IPS.

The situation for many Ukrainians has acutely worsened this winter. In what has been one of the coldest winters the country has seen for many years, Russian forces have repeatedly attacked Ukraine’s energy infrastructure, resulting in massive, widespread power outages. Thermal heating facilities have also been destroyed in targeted attacks.

As temperatures have plunged to as low as minus 30 degrees Celsius on some occasions, millions of people have been left freezing in their homes.

Jaime Wah, Deputy Head of Delegation with the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) in Ukraine, said people were suffering desperately in the cold.

“Some nights have been very unbearable. There is no escape from the cold. When you leave your apartment, it’s cold. Sometimes people have been joking that it’s warmer inside a fridge than inside their apartment. I’ve been here for over four years now, and it’s been the worst winter,” she told IPS.

Humanitarian organisations, including the Ukrainian Red Cross, and state emergency services have set up emergency heating points in cities and towns where people can keep warm, recharge devices and get food.

But Wah said while this has become a humanitarian crisis, it is one of just many crises Ukrainians are battling.

“In frontline regions, there are communities that are under evacuation orders, and some communities have essentially had most of their resources cut off. Family ties are quite strained – mental health needs are also immense, not only in the frontline regions but across Ukraine,” she said.

“There are lots of repairs to homes that are needed, not to mention the energy crisis, which is a humanitarian crisis… with no heating and no electricity, just the day-to-day things – just even heating your food becomes a problem. A lot of families are having to spend more time outside their homes, having to spend more money. On top of that, the cost of living has increased. These are some of the real, tangible situations that people in Ukraine are facing now,” she added.

Amid these problems, many Ukrainians admit that they are exhausted after four years of war.

But among the many people IPS spoke to on the eve of the fourth anniversary of the war, there was a widespread, although certainly not universal, determination to not give up.

“I feel a sense of responsibility. I do not have the right to give up, because many people have died so that I could have the chance to live. Of course, there is exhaustion, but, unlike those in the military, a civilian like me has time to rest and reset,” said Iryna.

For many, such resilience is born out of a desire not just for them and their country to survive what they see as Russia’s attempt to destroy them as an independent state and nation, but also a hope that, ultimately, there will be some justice served for what has been done to them.

The Russian military and authorities have repeatedly been accused of war crimes, crimes against humanity, breaches of international humanitarian law, as well as genocide, during the invasion of Ukraine.

The sheer volume of alleged crimes – at least 180,000 war crimes have been registered by Ukraine’s Prosecutor General – and the constraints of documenting, investigating and prosecuting during an ongoing conflict mean that bringing those behind them to justice was never expected to be easy. Only over 100 people have been prosecuted in Ukraine so far for crimes during the invasion.

But there are fears that international bodies such as the International Criminal Court (ICC), which has issued an arrest warrant for, among others, Russian President Vladimir Putin over alleged war crimes, could be rendered increasingly toothless in their ability to ever prosecute major figures who ordered such crimes because world leaders, such as US President Donald Trump, are no longer interested in upholding international justice for war crimes.

“I truly hope that the war will end very soon and that all war criminals will be brought to justice. However, what I see happening right now is the opposite: while institutions like the UN are unable to punish Russia, people are starting to forget about its war crimes. Countries are gradually lifting sanctions,” said Mihail.

“For example, Russian athletes are going to be able to take part in the Paralympics this year. As a result, people who committed war crimes just months or years ago can now take part in one of the world’s biggest sporting events. So we need to act – by refusing to normalise aggression, keeping sanctions firm and, most importantly, remembering about war.”

Others, though, are more hopeful.

“There is no doubt among Ukrainians that war criminals can be brought to justice,” Oleh Martynenko, an expert at the Ukrainian NGO Center for Civil Liberties, which documents war crimes, told IPS.

“This is evidenced by the participation of Ukrainians in international missions and courts where war criminals have been convicted. Also, thanks to the European Union, Ukrainians are building their own criminal prosecution systems, which provide for the arrest and imprisonment of Russian war criminals in accordance with UN international standards,” he said.

Regardless of these concerns and the other problems Ukrainians are facing as the full-scale invasion goes into its fifth year, some are looking to the future with a degree of hope.

“I feel a mix of determination, resilience, anger, and hope of victory,” Tetiana, a nurse in the Dnipropetrovsk region, who asked not to be identified for security reasons, told IPS. “Glory to Ukraine!” she added.

*Name changed to protect identity.

IPS UN Bureau Report

 


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Russia Assessing the Benefits of WTO Membership

Africa - INTER PRESS SERVICE - Tue, 24/02/2026 - 07:49

By Kester Kenn Klomegah
MOSCOW, Feb 24 2026 (IPS)

Despite consistent criticisms over its operations down the years, Russia still finds it difficult to leave the World Trade Organization (WTO), and instead assessing the opportunities and broad benefits of membership. WTO is not just an organization, but a multilateral bridge for strategic trade engagement and securing results-oriented partnerships. Certainly, unlocking and accelerating trade initiatives should be the key focus in the changing world.

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Alexey Overchuk underscored the importance of the work of the WTO, which regulates global trade, further suggested optimizing its operations. Some experts believe the WTO has effectively been paralyzed due to conditions created by the current geopolitical shifts from United States power dominance and its tariffs policy, to the emerging multipolar architecture.

In his view, this reason is driving the current changes as well as “the desire of specific countries, business groups, and companies to establish control, including over deposits of critical minerals, and new transport and logistics routes that ensure the delivery of resources and goods necessary for the functioning of economies.”

“Because whoever succeeds in doing this will secure a leadership position in the world with a new socio-economic order, and, consequently, will create better conditions for the emergence of new enterprises, new jobs, new sources of income for individuals and legal entities, new sources of budget revenue, and, ultimately, of course, a better standard of living for their own population,” Overchuk said, at the forum “Architecture of the Future: Russian Business in Key Multilateral Platforms.”

In his opinion, sanctions, tariff and non-tariff restrictions are playing an increasingly important role in international economic relations, and Western countries are using instruments of unfair competition. Experts believe that Russia has not received substantial economic benefits from its WTO membership.

Now, the world is moving away from globalization altogether, with many countries introducing ever more restrictive measures based solely on their own interests, disregarding international rules.

Experts agree that the WTO crisis is part of a broader process of transformation of the global economy. In a mid-February Rossiyskaya Gazeta, Pavel Seleznev, faculty dean at the Russian Financial University, pointed to the “erosion of international law” and the transition to a model based on “might makes right” and bilateral agreements. According to him, the world is shifting away from multilateral mechanisms toward agreements concluded outside the framework of international institutions.

Russian Chamber of Commerce and Industry’s Customs Policy Council Chairman, Georgy Petrov, however described what is happening as a “phase change”: classical globalization is giving way to regionalization, where trade flows and rules are concentrated within macro-regions and political decisions become the basis of economic policy, rather than the other way around.

In practice, this manifests as a sharp increase in restrictive measures. Dmitry Krasnov, managing director of the Rexoft Consulting Competence Center in Agriculture, also noted that participants in international trade are increasingly introducing unilateral steps that contradict established multilateral rules.

Meanwhile, the assessment of Russia’s WTO membership remains mixed. According to Krasnov, the organization provided “leverage for predictability”: multilateral commitments on tariff and non-tariff policies created a clear framework for the state and businesses, reduced arbitrary barriers, and provided opportunities for arbitration.

Petrov recalled that “the main tariff positions were fixed,” and entrepreneurs understood the limits of rate changes. This made customs and tariff policy more stable.

The reduction in tariffs provided for in the accession terms also had a dual effect. In Russia, some industries faced increased competition due to reduced protectionism upon accession to the WTO. According to Petrov, many manufacturers felt the need to produce higher-quality, more competitive products, which was a positive development.

Pavel Seleznev, faculty dean at the Russian Financial University, on the other hand, believes that Russia has not gained any significant economic benefits from its membership. However, even in the current situation, maintaining its membership status allows Russia to continue engaging in dialogue and expressing its views, even with unfriendly countries.

Russia remains the member of the WTO and views its norms as fair and useful but the issue of keeping membership in conditions of sanctions pressure is not a simple one, Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov said, on February 11, in the State Duma, the lower house of the Russian parliament.

Moscow believes it is necessary to revive the WTO as the sole recognized regulator of multilateral trade. “The issue is difficult and is under control with us and with the economic bloc of the government,” Lavrov said. “The WTO is experiencing crisis at present, just as the Bretton-Woods System on the whole,” he noted.

WTO principles and norms “are clearly established in agreements governing our trade relations with the overwhelming majority of countries of the world, including the global majority countries accounting for more than 70% of the Russian trade turnover,” the top Russian diplomat said. “One more circumstance that cannot be ignored is that the entire legal system of the Eurasian Economic Union rests on these WTO norms,” he noted.

The G20 Summit held on November 22-23 in Johannesburg, at the initiative of South African President, Cyril Ramaphosa, the joint declaration which was adopted, called for major reforms and stabilization of the global economy in 2026. “We recognize that meaningful, necessary and comprehensive reform of the WTO is essential to improve its functions so that it is better suited to advance all Members’ objectives,” the declaration read.

At the same time, G20 leaders emphasized its importance as an instrument for resolving trade disputes between countries. “We will strive to ensure that the benefits of trade reach all segments of society and that all people have the opportunity to benefit from trade,” the document reads.

In summary, the collective declaration advocated also for the swift implementation of the agreements reached within G20 to strengthen the role of countries from the Global South and East in the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB), taking into account their real weight in global economy. It is also important to revive the WTO as the sole recognized regulator of multilateral trade.

Russia joined the WTO in April 2011 after almost 18 years of persistent struggle and several negotiations, and adopting consistent efforts to meet the stringent membership requirements. It is the only international body now supervising world trade.

WTO has 153 members, and negotiations on the admission of a new member are held within a working group that unites countries that have unsettled trade problems with the candidate. It was established on January 1, 1995, as the successor to the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) that had been operating since 1947.

Kester Kenn Klomegah focuses on current geopolitical changes, foreign relations and economic development-related questions in Africa with external countries. Most of his well-resourced articles are reprinted in several reputable foreign media.

IPS UN Bureau

 


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