Vous êtes ici


S'abonner à flux Crisisgroup
Mis à jour : il y a 10 heures 45 min

Dura aterragem na Venezuela

mer, 20/07/2016 - 16:42
A Venezuela está à beira do precipício. A ação concertada ainda pode evitar a sua queda. Mas quanto mais se atrase, mais venezuelanos morrerão por falta de medicamentos, pela má nutrição ou pela violência.

South China Sea Ruling Sweeps Away Diplomatic Ambiguities

mer, 20/07/2016 - 09:50
Tuesday’s ruling by the International Tribunal on the Law of the Sea has bought a little clarity to the problems in the South China Sea, but it has not made solving the underlying problems significantly simpler.

China Hardens Position on South China Sea

lun, 18/07/2016 - 09:55
China has taken a leap towards clarifying its claims in the South China Sea, but in a direction that could intensify frictions.

Erdoğan’s Pyrrhic victory

dim, 17/07/2016 - 00:00
Paradoxes have always abounded in the relationship between the Turkish military and the country’s politicians. Turkey’s armed forces — or factions within them — have justified their repeated interventions in politics with claims that they are saving the state from corrupt, populist politicians. The political class, for its part, frustrated as its leaders turn rotten, blames its degradation on over-dominant army interventions that keep wrecking the country’s democratic progress.

Venezuela’s hard landing

ven, 15/07/2016 - 00:00
Venezuela is on the edge of the precipice. Concerted action may yet pull it back. But the longer it is delayed, the more Venezuelans will die from lack of medicines, malnutrition or violence.

Duro aterrizaje en Venezuela

ven, 15/07/2016 - 00:00
Venezuela está al borde del precipicio. La acción concertada puede aún evitar su caída. Pero cuanto más se retrase, más venezolanos morirán por falta de medicinas, por malnutrición o por violencia.

Testimony to the UK Parliament's International Development Committee on the Humanitarian Situation in Burundi

mar, 12/07/2016 - 17:32
Central Africa Project Director Richard Moncrieff gave his testimony on the humanitarian situation in Burundi to the UK Parliament’s International Development Committee on 12 July 2016.

¿Por qué no arranca la paz con el ELN?

lun, 11/07/2016 - 00:00
El gobierno insiste en que no habrá negociación mientras prosigan los secuestros y la guerrilla insiste en que esa condición desconoce la agenda. ¿Cuál es entonces el futuro del proceso de paz con “la otra guerrilla”?

The South China Sea Needs ASEAN More Than Ever

ven, 08/07/2016 - 10:02
A ruling from The Hague next week on maritime disputes in the South China Sea is likely to exacerbate frictions between China and the U.S. Both would be better off respecting the central role of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN). Expecting an unfavorable decision by the Permanent Court of Arbitration on the Philippines’ challenge to its extensive maritime claims, China has intensified its long-held policy of divide-and-rule to prevent ASEAN from closing ranks behind the legal process.

À 41 ans, la Cedeao doit s’adapter aux temps présents

jeu, 07/07/2016 - 12:33
Le 4 juin dernier, les chefs d’État et de gouvernement de la Communauté économique des États de l’Afrique de l’Ouest (Cedeao) étaient réunis à Dakar. Signe des temps, l’ordre du jour de cette 49e conférence a réservé plus d’espace aux questions politiques qu’au débat sur le développement économique. En plus de l’examen de situations nationales dans des pays comme le Burkina Faso, le Mali ou la Guinée Bissau, l’organisation s’est surtout penchée sur des thèmes transnationaux comme la lutte contre le terrorisme ou les conflits liés aux activités pastorales, qui font désormais peser de nouvelles menaces sur la sécurité de l’Afrique de l’Ouest. Pour faire face à ces nouveaux défis, l’organisation doit se réformer en profondeur.

Bangladeshi Leaders Must Stop Politicizing Counterterrorism

jeu, 07/07/2016 - 11:00
The July 1 terrorist attack in Dhaka hit unnervingly close to home. The Bangladeshi side of my family lost a relative -- Faraaz Hossain, a 20-year-old student at Emory University in the U.S. who was home for the holidays. I had been at the site of the massacre, the Holey Artisan Bakery, in Dhaka's upscale Gulshan neighborhood, twice during my last visit to the country. Personal grief aside, this is the most visible manifestation yet of the threat that a new generation of self-styled jihadis poses to a country that prides itself on its moderate, secular, pluralistic society.

Why Duterte needs to move fast to end decades-long insurgency

jeu, 07/07/2016 - 00:00
The southern Philippines is potentially closer to peace than at any time in the four decades since Muslim insurgents started fighting for independence, but the substantial progress over the past six years is also fragile. The new President, Rodrigo Duterte, needs to build quickly on the foundations laid by the last administration or the process risks collapse.

The Kurds: A Divided Future ?

lun, 04/07/2016 - 13:49
Joost Hiltermann, Middle East & North Africa Program Director, discusses with Australia's ABC the difficulties that the Kurds will face if they pursue independence, starting with their divergent views on the creation of a Kurdish state.

Cosa dovrebbe fare Ecowas nell’Africa occidentale

lun, 04/07/2016 - 10:05
Il 4 giugno scorso, capi di Stato e di governo della Comunità economica degli Stati dell’Africa occidentale (Ecowas) si sono riuniti a Dakar. In conformità con le attuali evoluzioni, l’ordine del giorno della 49esima conferenza dell’organizzazione si è caratterizzato per l’ampia presenza di questioni politiche, piuttosto che di problematiche legate allo sviluppo economico. Inoltre, più che sull’esame di situazioni nazionali di Paesi come il Burkina Faso, il Mali o la Guinea Bissau, le discussioni si sono concentrate su temi transnazionali come la lotta al terrorismo o ai conflitti tra gli allevatori, che costituiscono ormai delle nuove minacce per la sicurezza dell’Africa occidentale. Affrontare queste nuove sfide richiede una riforma radicale da parte dell’Ecowas.

Теракт в Стамбуле: россияне под подозрением

sam, 02/07/2016 - 00:00
Турецкие СМИ сообщают со ссылкой на свои источники в спецслужбах о том, что теракт в стамбульском аэропорту имени Ататюрка был предположительно организован Ахмедом Чатаевым (Ахмад Шишани), известным чеченским джихадистом, примкнувшим к ИГ (организация, запрещенная в России), а его исполнителями стали двое граждан России. Происхождение третьего смертника устанавливается. К такой информации стоит относиться осторожно и воспринимать ее как предварительную: очень часто в аналогичных ситуациях в первые дни после трагедии озвучиваются версии, которые впоследствии не подтверждаются. Тем не менее, в Турции проходят аресты представителей северокавказской общины и проверки в районах их компактного проживания. Имеют ли нападавшие какое-либо отношение к этой общине, пока неизвестно. Попробуем разобраться в том, что мы о ней знаем, и зачем русскоязычные джихадисты в ИГ могли взорвать турецкий аэропорт.

Preventing Renewed War in South Sudan

ven, 01/07/2016 - 11:07
The honeymoon period is now over for the Agreement on the Resolution of the Conflict in South Sudan, which formally ended the civil war in August 2015. Its guarantors need to act urgently in the next days to save it and prevent the country from returning to full-scale combat.

Agreements on the End of the Conflict and the Referendum Bring Peace in Colombia Closer

ven, 24/06/2016 - 01:47
The signing in Havana today of agreements on the “end of the conflict” and the referendum mechanism for the Colombian population to approve the final peace deal provides the strongest assurance yet that the 52-year armed conflict between the government and the country’s largest guerrilla group, the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), is finally coming to an end. President Juan Manuel Santos and rebel leader Rodrigo Londoño (Timochenko) signed the detailed document with UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon, the presidents of Chile, Cuba and Venezuela and the foreign minister of Norway as witnesses, among other high-profile figures.

A Rule of Law Meltdown Is Behind the Murder of Bloggers in Bangladesh

mar, 21/06/2016 - 10:42
A series of gruesome attacks on bloggers in Bangladesh has shocked the country and the world. But they are only one element in a years-long cycle of mounting violence. Large-scale political repression has created a climate of injustice that extremist groups have easily exploited in their war against secularists and liberal thinkers.