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European Working Group on Egypt to European Leaders and Policymakers

ven, 15/04/2016 - 11:09
We believe it is time for the EU to adopt a position on current developments in Egypt that is more clearly defined and better serves the interests of both Europe and the Egyptian people. For some time, the European Union (EU) has remained largely silent on political, judicial and human rights issues in Egypt, while several member states have acted to normalise relations with President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi and his government. Yet the Egyptian government’s crackdown has reached a point where the existence of an independent human rights community is in question, and there is no accountability for torture, death in custody and enforced disappearances despite overwhelming evidence of the direct involvement of Egyptian security officials and institutions in these practices. The death of Giulio Regeni and the unresolved questions surrounding it, which are naturally a major focus of Italian and EU attention, are also emblematic of a much wider problem affecting large numbers of Egyptian citizens.

Russia’s North Caucasus Insurgency Widens as ISIS’ Foothold Grows

mer, 13/04/2016 - 10:15
Russia’s North Caucasus insurgency has gone relatively quiet, but reduced casualty numbers belie a still-worrying situation where long-standing grievances remain. As more and more fighters join the cause of globalized jihadi groups, most of all the self-declared Islamic State (ISIS), Moscow may find that it has only transformed and widened its war.

The Global Refugee Crisis: Statement by the Board of Trustees of the International Crisis Group

mar, 12/04/2016 - 10:47
The Board of Trustees of the International Crisis Group calls on world leaders to take more coordinated, better principled action to address the global refugee crisis. The scale of the tragedy shines the spotlight on just how remiss the international order has been in managing, much less settling, the conflicts that generate so much of today’s human flight.

Bangladesh government must step back from chaos

mar, 12/04/2016 - 10:05
The brutal murder of a law student blogger who had criticized Islamist groups in Bangladesh has underlined the growing power and impunity of the country's extremist rump. The death of Nazumuddin Samad, 28, who was hacked and shot to death on April 7, has also highlighted how the rise of religious extremism is affecting the country's image and its efforts to advance economically.

Ukraine’s Meat Grinder Is Back in Business

mar, 12/04/2016 - 00:00
The one bright spot in the otherwise largely unimplemented February 2015 Minsk peace agreement was a ceasefire that ended full-scale fighting between Ukrainian forces and Moscow-backed, pro-Russian rebels who seized parts of the Donetsk and Luhansk regions on the Ukrainian-Russian border almost two years ago.

La negociación con el ELN y la búsqueda de la paz completa

lun, 11/04/2016 - 16:00
¿Cómo se influirán mutuamente las mesas de negociación de las FARC y del ELN? ¿Cuáles son los riesgos del desfase entre los dos procesos? ¿En algún momento tendrán que sincronizarse y trabajar conjuntamente?

The Fight To Stop Al Shabab From Disrupting Somalia’s Elections

lun, 11/04/2016 - 11:28
Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud pledged to hold elections, finalize the constitution and determine the number and location of Somalia’s federal states by 2016. Fierce political wrangling has accompanied each of these processes, and the election is now set to be decided by clan elders and regional representatives rather than by a popular vote.

« L'Etat islamique et Al-­Qaida ne seront pas vaincus de l'extérieur »

lun, 11/04/2016 - 10:23
L’armée syrienne a repris Palmyre ­à l’organisation Etat islamique (EI) le 27 mars, et la pression militaire ­s’accroît côté irakien. Une reconquête ­militaire est-elle en vue ?

Statement : UNGASS Must Not Become a Missed Opportunity – Lessons from Latin America

ven, 08/04/2016 - 12:34
Since 1961, the international community has invested huge resources to enforce the UN mandate to create a “drug free” world. Yet, after decades of interdiction and eradication, organised crime around the globe has merely shifted routes and markets. Massive corruption, violence and human rights abuses are consequences of a too often militarised response. World leaders who meet 19-21 April at the UN Special Session on drugs (UNGASS) must do much more than review the struggle. They must begin to fix its flaws, stem the bloodshed and bolster societies besieged by transnational crime. Crisis Group recommends that UNGASS draw lessons from a history of failed strategies and poor results and from our field experience to look closely at Latin America, where cartels outgun national police, coerce and corrupt officials and produce countless victims in a battle to control drug production, transport corridors and distribution networks.

CrisisWatch | Tracking Conflict Worldwide

ven, 01/04/2016 - 22:34
The month saw violent extremist movements, including the Islamic State (IS) and al-Qaeda-linked groups, carry out major deadly attacks in Turkey, Pakistan, Côte d’Ivoire, Tunisia and Belgium. In Libya, the arrival of Prime Minister Serraj in Tripoli despite warnings from multiple factions could lead to further destabilisation. Meanwhile in Central Africa, political violence rose in Burundi and could break out in Chad around the 10 April presidential election. Yemen, South Sudan and even Syria saw progress, of varying degrees, toward peace talks or implementation of agreements, and in Colombia the start of talks between the state and the National Liberation Army (ELN) could lead to the end of the 52-year-old conflict.

中美战略互疑将恶化南海局势

ven, 01/04/2016 - 15:48
虽然华盛顿正在南海问题上明确且高调地宣示立场,但北京的解读可能是另一回事。

观点:中美南海擦枪走火风险大但可管控

ven, 01/04/2016 - 15:37
中美最近均在南海加注,加剧了双方的博弈竞争,也增大了擦枪走火的风险。矛盾的焦点是中国在南海有争议的南沙群岛内实施的大规模填海造岛行动,

The Colombian Government’s First Official Peace Talks with the ELN

jeu, 31/03/2016 - 19:09
The International Crisis Group welcomes announcement on 30 March of the “Agreement for Peace Talks between the National Government and the National Liberation Army” (ELN) in Colombia, and the beginning of a public phase of negotiations. These talks, together with those nearing completion with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) in Havana, are the greatest opportunity to end 52 years of armed conflict. The parties must now build confidence not only mutually, but also with a still sceptical public, synchronise both sets of talks and move rapidly to specific agreements, with full international support, particularly from the guarantor countries (Brazil, Chile, Cuba, Ecuador, Norway and Venezuela).

Post-conflict in Colombia: The International Potential of Peace

jeu, 31/03/2016 - 18:18
A Colombia in peace should be welcomed by the region because it means the return to the neighbourhood of an important, relevant resident, with first-order hemispheric tasks ahead.

Philanthropist Frank Giustra Donates </br>$1 Million for Crisis Group Fellows

jeu, 31/03/2016 - 10:08
The International Crisis Group is honoured to announce the creation of the Giustra Fellowship for Conflict Prevention, made possible by a generous gift of $1 million from Canadian businessman and philanthropic leader Frank Giustra through The Radcliffe Foundation. Mr. Giustra has been a long-time advocate for Crisis Group, providing transformational financial support since joining its Board of Trustees in 2005.

Along the Divide

mer, 30/03/2016 - 23:50
Israel is now confronted by the greatest unrest it has faced since the second intifada ended more than ten years ago. Palestinian protests and clashes with Israeli forces have spread from East Jerusalem to the rest of the West Bank, as well as to Gaza and Palestinian towns inside Israel. In the first three weeks of October, ten Israelis were killed and more than a hundred injured in stabbings and shootings, and by drivers ramming cars into pedestrians. Over the same period, Israeli forces killed 53 Palestinians and injured around two thousand. Compared to the second intifada, the protests this month have been smaller, the influence of Palestinian political factions weaker, and the attacks far less lethal. But they have been coming more frequently, with several of them, unco-ordinated, on most days.

Trouble on Holy Ground

mer, 30/03/2016 - 23:44
The Holy Esplanade — known to Muslims as Haram al-Sharif and to Jews as the Temple Mount — stands at the center of the current protest and violence in Israel, the West Bank, and Gaza. But despite U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry’s latest visit, meant to de-escalate the tension, the claims and counterclaims made about the Esplanade’s status remain as murky as ever.

Los conflictos fragmentarios del mundo

mer, 30/03/2016 - 22:58
La ignorancia y la indiferencia, no la rivalidad de las superpotencias y los conflictos subsidiarios de la guerra fría, mataron a las víctimas del colapso de la antigua Yugoslavia. Las posibilidades de prevenir las masacres, los flujos de refugiados y la destrucción habrían sido mucho mejores con propuestas políticas inteligentes apoyadas al más alto nivel. Esta laguna fue el ímpetu principal para los hombres y mujeres que crearon el International Crisis Group (ICG) en 1995.

Uluslararası Kriz Grubu Türkiye'deki PKK çatışmasının insani maliyeti ile ilgili bir rapor yayınladı.

jeu, 17/03/2016 - 18:36
Türkiye devleti ile uluslararası alanda terör örgütü olarak kabul edilen PKK arasındaki çözüm sürecinin çökmesi, Temmuz 2015’te çatışmaların yeniden başlaması ve daha sonra derinleşen şiddet sarmalı, yeni bir çözüm sürecinin inşasını hiç olmadığı kadar gerekli kılıyor.

Trügerisches Selbstvertrauen

mar, 15/03/2016 - 14:33
Als der türkische Staat und die Arbeiterpartei Kurdistans (PKK) im Juli 2015 den zweieinhalb Jahre währenden Waffenstillstand brachen, betraten sie einen dunklen gefährlichen Tunnel, den beide Seiten nur unter großen Mühen wieder werden verlassen können.

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