A number of developments suggest that South Asia’s political geography will be restructured in the medium to long term. The main external drivers are infrastructure projects – first and foremost the Chinese Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) – which open up new development opportunities for many countries in the region. At the same time relations between India and Pakistan, which were are the heart of any analysis on South Asia, are becoming increasingly decoupled. The already weak South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) may become even less important and is likely to be replaced by new cooperation formats.
Als Präsidentschaftskandidat verstörte Donald Trump die Regierungen Japans und Südkoreas, indem er ihnen angesichts der Bedrohung durch Nordkorea nahelegte, sich selbst mit Nuklearwaffen zu verteidigen. Nun plant Nordkorea, vier Raketen in Richtung der US-Pazifikinsel Guam abzuschießen. Präsident Trump fordert, solche Drohungen zu unterlassen – andernfalls werde Amerika mit »Feuer und Wut« reagieren. Statt kriegerischer Rhetorik ist aber Diplomatie notwendig, um eine Deeskalation und einen Dialog mit dem nordkoreanischen Machthaber Kim Jong-un herbeizuführen. Pjöngjang hat erhebliche Fortschritte bei der Entwicklung von Nuklearwaffen und Raketen erzielt. Nun steht Washington vor der Frage, wie es auf die wachsende Bedrohung des eigenen Landes durch Nordkoreas Atomraketen reagieren soll. Die Handlungsoptionen der USA und ihrer Verbündeten sind allesamt nicht gut und höchstens langfristig erfolgversprechend.
Az eme blog hasábjain oly sűrűn emlegetett mainstream média ismételt közönye mellett augusztus 4-én az ország és a régió jövőjét is meghatározó módon a ruandai elnök, Paul Kagame a szavazatok 99%-ának megszerzésével majdhogynem tökéletes győzelmet aratott az elnökválasztáson, így tehát tovább folytathatja 1994-ben megkezdett munkáját – ráadásul egy 2015-ös alkotmánymódosításnak köszönhetően egészen 2034-ig hatalmon is maradhat, ha az egyébként általa is feleslegesnek tartott választásokat meg tudja nyerni. A nemzetközi közvéleményben következetesen gyakorolt Kagame-barát politika ellenére meglepő módon a sajtó Ruandával foglalkozó része csalásról és Kagame diktatúrájáról beszélt a voksolás után, amelynek kampánya során is nyilvánvalóvá vált, hogy Kagame lassan elődei hibájába esve teljes társadalmi csoportokról kezd megfeledkezni.
Szó se róla, 1994-hez képest tényleg előrelépés történt a gazdaságban, tényleg óriási szerepe volt az elnök pártjának a népirtás megállításában, tényleg sikerült fejlesztenie az infrastruktúrát és erősítenie a nők jogait, de a holdudvarának elég egyoldalú kiépítése igencsak marginalizált bizonyos társadalmi csoportokat, ráadásul az Egyesült Államok és Nagy-Britannia teljeskörű támogatását élvezve az egész régióban, minden határt felrúgva igyekszik kereskedelmi, geopolitikai érdekeit keresztülvinni – amely vádakra általában ugyanaz a válasz: “Ti nem éltétek át a népirtást, mi viszont igen”. Ennek érzik erőteljesen a súlyát Kelet-Kongóban, szó se róla. A gazdasági csoda ettől függetlenül egyébként létezik (csak a mértékéről vannak kétségek), hiszen Etiópia után az elmúlt 20 évben Ruanda produkálta a legjobb gazdasági növekedési számokat, csak hát ez a hihetetlen dübörgés főleg külföldi támogatók pénztárcáján alapul és haszonélvezője csak a társadalom angolul beszélő, városban élő szűk elitje – mert a lakosság többsége továbbra is önfenntartó falusi farmer, aki abból él, amit saját maga megtermel.
És nem, ez a poszt nem az örök bíráló és elégedetlen publicista posztja, hiszen Ruanda gazdasági csodáját csak az nem látja, aki nem akarja, a főváros, Kigali igazi metropolisz, minden elérhető, ami “Nyugaton”, de a vidéki egyszerű emberek a beletörődés egyszerű arcával igyekeznek túlélni az országban, ahol semmiféle infrastruktúra nincs a kormányzat és az elnök ellenőrzésére, Kagame szava nagyjából szentírás. És valójában ez a legnagyobb probléma, egyszerűen nincs olyan társadalmi kontroll vagy lehetőség, ami lehetővé tenné a politikai elit megváltoztatását vagy akár az elnök elmozdítását pozíciójából vagy akár csak ellenzéki hangok megütését, így a társadalomnak még sokáig kell nyögnie a terhet, hogy 2050-re Ruanda a legfejlettebb államok között legyen a világon.
Mert igen, ez Kagame célja egy olyan országban, ami zömében a mezőgazdaságra épít és amelyben minden ellenzéki hang annyira elnémított lett, hogy maga Kagame is azt mondta néhány hete, hogy a választás “már csak formalitás” és a régi barát Egyesült Államok is odáig jutott, hogy jelezte egy minisztériumi jelentésében, hogy aggályosnak tartja az állami propaganda monopóliumát és a választások során tapasztalt furcsaságokat. Az alacsony bűnözési ráta kampányszlogenjére is volt válasza a Human Rights Watch emberjogi csoportjának, akik egy hónapja publikáltak egy olyan jelentést, amiből kiderült, hogy a ruandai rendőrség vagy a rendőrség által támogatott paramilitáris csoportok egyszerű lopásokért lincseltek vagy öltek meg embereket, így nem csoda, hogy ellenzéki újságírók vagy politikusok mindennapjai is életveszélyben telnek.
A gazdasági statisztikákról meg hát Görögország vagy éppen az Enron óta tudjuk, hogy nem mindig megbízhatóak, egy brit kutatócsoport szerint például a ruandai csodanövekedés 2005 óta nem biztos, hogy valós, hiszen az átlagos 5%-os GDP-növekedéshez képest a háztartások fogyasztása nem is változott a 2005-ös szinthez képest. De még ha ez csak elmélkedés is, az biztos, hogy a GDP-arányos államadósság növekszik és a külföldi befektetések összege csökken – tehát hiába nyert ismét választásokat Kagame és hiába biztos a pozíciója és hatalma, előbb-utóbb olyan kihívásokkal kell, hogy szembenézzen, amelyek most már tényleg a társadalom húsába vágnak majd.
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5 ember kedveli ezt a posztot.Tetszett az írás.Tetszett az írás.
August 12, 2017 (KHARTOUM) - The White Nile State government Saturday said it plans to bring back into refugee camps some 46,000 South Sudanese living in the residential neighbourhoods in several towns.
The head of the technical coordination committee for refugee affairs in the White Nile State, Tayeb Mohamed Abdallah said they plan to relocate to the refugee camps near the border areas some 46,000 refugees living in Kosti, Rabek, Ad Douiem and other towns. by refugee law.
The state official further told the semi-official Sudanese Media Center (SMC) that any refugee refuses to comply with the law will be deported from the country.
last Sunday, Sudanese interior ministry decided to divide a camp for South Sudanese refugees in the White Nile State into three camps, together with a number of measures to control the security situation.
The measure was taken after the eruption of violence at Al-Waral Camp where a group of refugees set fires to tents before to looting stores and humanitarian services buildings. The refugees are also accused of raping four Sudanese female teachers working in the camp.
Abdallah said that the state of White Nile hosts more than (150) thousand refugees in several camps established on areas owned by individuals and cooperative societies and agricultural land.
He further regretted that the refugees didn't appreciate all the efforts done by the Sudanese people and their government.
Last week, the White Nile State Governor Abdel-Hameed Musa Kasha accused officers of the Sudan People's Liberation Army of being behind the riots in the camp. The local authorities announced also they will try the perpetrators of violence soon.
(ST)
Nem tartozik közvetlenül a Balkánhoz, az én emlékeimben él élénken a hölgy. Amikor a 2000-es évek elején tudósításaimat küldtem Szarajevóból, szinte nem volt nap, hogy ne találkoztam volna a nevével: Carla de Ponte. A délszláv háború háborús bűneit kivizsgáló hágai nemzetközi törvényszék főügyésze volt. Rengeteget dolgozott, számtalanszor látogatott el a térségbe, többé-kevésbé eredményes is volt a tevékenysége, igaz munkájához megkapta a nemzetközi közösségek és nagyjából az érintett országok hatóságainak támogatását is.
A hágai nemzetközi törvényszék főügyésze
Évekig nem olvastam róla semmit és most jött szembe a hír,miszerint bejelentette, hogy lemond a szíriai háborús bűnöket kivizsgáló bizottság tagságáról. Az ENSZ Emberi Jogi Tanácsa 2011-ben, alig néhány hónappal a szíriai polgárháború kitörése után létrehozott egy független vizsgálóbizottságot, Carla del Ponte 2012 szeptemberben csatlakozott hozzá. A bizottság a brazil Paulo Pinhero vezetésével több jelentést is készített, de Damaszkusz a beutazásukat Szíriába soha nem engedélyezte.
Az ügyészasszony a lemondását azzal indokolta, hogy elégedetlen a bizottságban folyó munkával, az elmúlt években szinte semmit nem csináltak, és ehhez tovább nem adja a nevét.
„Frusztrált vagyok, elmegyek. Most Szíriában mindenki a rossz oldalán áll. Kezdetben voltak a jók és a rosszak. Az ellenállók voltak a jók oldalán, a kormány a rossz oldalon. Most pedig Szíriában mindenki a rossz oldalán áll. Asszad rezsimje rettenetes emberiség elleni bűnöket követett el, vegyifegyvert használt, az ellenzék pedig szélsőségesek és terroristák. Higgyék el nekem: olyan szörnyű bűnöket, mint Szíriában, nem láttam sem Ruandában sem a volt Jugoszláviában” - mondta.
„Nem lehetek tovább résztvevője egy bizottságnak, ami semmit nem csinál”- magyarázta, és megvádolta az ENSZ Biztonsági Tanács tagjait, hogy nem akarják, hogy az igazság kiderüljön. „Amíg nem jön létre egy bíróság a szíriai bűncselekmények elkövetését tárgyalni, addig minden vizsgálat teljesen haszontalan.”
Bashar Assad szír elnök
„Ruandában és a volt Jugoszláviában vizsgálatokat indítottak, vádemelések történtek, elfogató parancsokat adtak ki. Ebben az esetben semmi sem történik. Ez hihetetlen! Ez a Biztonsági Tanács szégyene!”
„Azt hittük, hogy a nemzetközi közösség tanult valamit Ruandában. De nem, semmit nem tanultak” -mutatott rá.
Antonio Gutteres ENSZ főtitkár bejelentette, hogy a szíriai háborús bűnöket kivizsgáló bizottság továbbra is működik, függetlenül attól, hogy Carla del Ponte ügyész beadta a lemondását.
Carla del Ponte lemondása annak kérdését is felveti, hogy a háborús bűncselekményeket hogyan kell kivizsgálni akkor, ha az ENSZ Biztonsági Tanácsának állandó tagja – jelen esetben Oroszország – úgy dönt, hogy megvétózza a folyamatokat, hogy az ügyek nemzetközi büntetőbírósághoz kerüljenek. A szíriai vizsgáló bizottságnak nincs hatásköre a büntetőeljárásban, de összegyűlt hatalmas mennyiségű bizonyíték és van bizalmas lista nevekről, amik a szíriai kormány és a katonaság legmagasabb köreihez tartoznak.
Az ügyésznő azt mondta, amennyiben a közeljövőben lesz egy új bíróság, ami ezeket a bűnöket vizsgálja, készen áll arra, hogy ott ügyészként dolgozzon, mert van benne tapasztalata. A jelenlegi bizottság további munkáját feleslegesnek tartja, mert „nincs hatásköre és nincs lehetősége arra, hogy igazságot szolgáltasson az áldozatokért.”
A szíriai háborúban 2011 március óta több mint 330 ezer ember halt meg, és több millióan megsebesültek és eltűntek.
By Mahmoud A. Suleiman
As a Sudanese people who long for stability, peace and security, we have no objection to the decision to collect unlicensed weapons throughout Sudan, but our reservation is about trying to collect weapons and selectively confiscate of arms from opponents of the regime and allowing illegal possession of weapons for the government supporters. The latter scenario is likely going to be the outcome of the alleged campaign. Moreover, as a Sudanese person, I have doubts about the objectives of this regime in putting forward this project 16 years after the outbreak of the proxy war by employing the Janjawid militias in the Darfur region and committing the heinous crimes against unarmed civilians.
The regime of the National Congress Party (NCP) announcement of weapons collection in the region of Darfur and the confiscation of unlicensed Boko Haram vehicles continue to generate widespread reactions in the States of the Darfur, the political forces and Sudanese civil society organizations. Such concerns have also been expressed by the Sudanese opposition factions among them the National Umma Party (NUM) who questioned the government's ability to carry out the task of collecting weapons and dismantling the arsenal of allied tribal institutions. It is worthy to bear in mind that the heavy proliferation of weapons in the war-ravaged region has contributed to the fragmentation of the social fabric along with the never-ending intertribal warfare. Sadly, the continuous tribal fighting between the Rizeigat and Maaliya tribes is a vivid example. Unfortunately, the dreaded war and the tribal conflict between the Rizeigat and al-Maaliya renewed. Without a doubt, responsibility lies in the NCP government, which does not want stability for the people of Sudan in Darfur. Furthermore and according to the Political Bureau of the National Umma Party (NUP) indicated that , 151 tribal conflicts have taken place in the Darfur region since the ill-fated arrival of the military coup of the ruling regime of the National Islamic Front (NIF) and its successor the ruling regime of the National Congress Party (NCP) which contributed to fueling and feeding the factors of conflict and division among the tribes, in the wars of ideology and endless absurd civil wars of attrition.
According to the Sudan Tribune electronic Journal on Sunday, 23 July 2017 reported that al-Bashir's Vice President Hassabo Abel Rahman announced that his government would launch a campaign to collect weapons in Darfur and reorganise the government militias before the end of the year 2017. Hassabo was reported to have announced that the government would start to implement its plans to collect weapons from civilians unauthorised groups to and called on the religious leaders incite the population to hand over their arms and to contribute to the efforts to stabilise the region. We must leave weapons only for certain purposes," said the vice president and stressed that this plan is a "strategic project" for peace in Darfur. http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article63065
Furthermore, in press statements, the governor of North Darfur state Abdel-Wahid Youssef, said Abdel-Rahman, who chairs the higher committee tasked with the collection of illegal arms in Darfur and Kordofan, would visit El-Fasher on Monday. Abdel-Wahid was reported to have added saying that the committee was formed to collect illegal weapons not only from Darfur and Kordofan but from all Sudan's states. https://www.middleeastobserver.org/2017/08/07/38932/
And in the state of central Darfur, the Vice President of the Republic, Hassabo Mohamed Abdel Rahman, head of the Supreme Committee for the collection of arms and the legalization of cars, stressed on the need to impose the prestige of the state and the rule of law. He added and said that Sudan has become a conduit for weapons that are used in the looting and tribal conflicts. He was also reported to have said during his address to the meeting of the Council of ministers of the central Darfur State government and the Security Legislative Council mandate: that the collection of arms and licensing of Four wheel vehicles SUVs campaign comes in order to eliminate the negative consequences of the war, the psychological, social and economic impact, and added that the first phase of the weapons collection began in Darfur states five Kordofan, Including the whole Sudan, and said: The plan is based on the collection of weapons and vehicles, which have become very negative and destructive of the economy, and is a war machine used in tribal conflict and the transfer of arms and the drug trade.
In general, the availability of fire arms in the hands of tribal militias loyal to the ruling National Congress Party, which seeks to engage citizens in self-conflict away from the main issues of concern to them, is the most important cause of the conflicts and the tribal war in Darfur.
With regard to the decision of the ruling regime of the National Congress Party (NCP) to collect weapons from the hands of citizens in the Darfur region at this particular time and after 28 lean years of its arbitrary dictatorial rule that characterised by crimes against humanity, war crimes and crimes of genocide, it is nothing but a knee-jerk reaction or spilling ashes in the eyes as the saying goes.
The first and the most people concerned with this decision are the Internally Displaced People (IDPs) in the Darfur region. Thus, the Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs) and other Sudanese citizens consider the decision of the National Congress Party (NCP) to collect weapons in Darfur is nothing but propaganda of lies because the arms in the region are only in the hands of the government and its militias and mercenaries. As the saying of the Sudanese people goes, their protector is the thief himself! It is a laughable and raising tear at the same time; of the scourge that stirs up laughter.
The paradox is that the weapons that are now being collected from Darfur are essentially handed over by the government of Sudan (GoS) to the Janjawid militias, which turned into the so-called Rapid Support Forces (RSF), which continues supporting the government's army to fight the Darfur Movements, killing unarmed civilians and robbing and stealing the unarmed citizens' property.
In the end, the government will only find weapons in the hands of its militias and mercenaries. Because the (GoS) wants them to be carrying arms day and night to protect it and intimidate citizens so that Security which is paramount for the regime so as security should not turn into lawlessness and out of control as they believe. The NCP ruling regime has been saying it all the time.
The Paradox of Confiscation and Collection of Weapons in Darfur is nothing but a lie Propaganda. The Displaced people and citizens mocked at the collection of weapons propaganda.
As part of the reactions to the government decisions to collect weapons, the Darfurians mocked the decision as propaganda, since there is no Darfurian citizen carrying a weapon or owning a land cruiser with a Dushka, wearing a skullcap, walking around the market carrying weapons, looting and cutting roads without accountability other than the government Itself and its allies.. An activist for Radio Dabanga from El Fasher said the other day that all those who carry weapons in Darfur are the militias that were formed by the government and supplied with weapons and called them with many names such as Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and Border Guards and Popular Defence Forces (PDF) other names. The Darfuris said that the government when it says it will collect weapons from citizens is nothing but a falsehood prevailing par excellence. The (NCP) regime seems to have lost the compass and failed to call things by their names. The correct name was the government's collection of arms from the hands of its militias and the groups that provided them with arms, not citizens. Moreover, the people in the Displaced Persons Camps stressed that the process of collecting weapons does not need to be talked about too much. The weapon, as one of the activist said, can be collected by reference to the leaders of these militias and the civil administrations associated with some of the senior officials who stay with the government in Khartoum. The General Coordinator of IDP camps for displaced person described the government decision of collecting weapons as a disinformation for local and global public opinion. He stressed that all the weapons in Darfur are in the hands of militias linked to the regime through the security services directly or through the delegates in the executive authority in Khartoum and Darfur but not the victim, and citizens of Darfur. He stressed that the collection of arms from the hands of citizens depends on the National Congress Party (NCP) regime in Khartoum and the restoration of the prestige of the state and reconciliation in Darfur and the enactment of clear and deterrent laws governing the state systems and bodies entrusted with the collection of weapons and arms carriers.
Other commentators on the aforementioned subject say that opportunity to investigate Darfur chemical weapon attacks must not be squandered and should take the priority now. Member states of the Organization for the Prohibition of Chemical Weapons (OPCW) must take this opportunity of weapon collection by the (GoS) to demand a proper investigation into alleged chemical attacks by Sudanese government forces in the Jebel Marra region of Darfur.
The decision of the ruling National Congress Party to collect arms from Sudanese citizens in Darfur is like the decision to hold a referendum to abolish the Darfur region and to keep only the five states, which was a random decision in the interest of the government of the genocidal fugitive from international justice Omar Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir.
Omar Hassan Ahmed al-Bashir plans by all his capabilities to be president of Sudan for life so as not to leave a gap or the scope for the International Criminal Court (ICC) to be able to arrest him and take him to The Hague for the trial for the crimes he has committed against the people of Sudan in the Darfur region. He believes strongly that his survival in power in the rule of the Sudan would protect him from the gripping hand of that fearful court. For this reason, his regime works tirelessly to create specialized projects to distract the Sudanese citizen and the Sudanese opposition together to keep them away from the basic issues of concern to the Sudanese people. He employs all the energies of his rule and his entrusted entourage for that end.
The Paradoxes in the (NCP) regime's arms collection in Darfur centres squarely around the fact that the supervisor of this task is a person who was at the top of the government officials who recruited and armed the notorious Janjaweed militias in their various names, including the current infamous Rapid Support Forces (RSF). As the Sudanese popular proverb goes :( Its Guard is its Thief), So to speak!
Thus, the decision of the ruling regime of the National Congress Party (NCP) to collect weapons in Darfur is a project in the face of it seems good but in the midst of it carries evil Seeds of old sedition renewed.
Before the end of this article, we pray asking for the mercy of God in the spirit of the late First pioneer of the Sudanese women's movement Fatima Ahmed Ibrahim, who moved to the Hereafter this morning Saturday the twelfth of August 2017 in London. The departure of the pioneer feminist movement activist Fatima Ahmed Ibrahim tells the long history of the struggle of the Sudanese women as well as the glorious history of the Sudanese people through Eras and Epochs. Fatima Ahmed Ibrahim represents a milestone in the Sudanese political history.
George S. Patton the senior officer of the United States Army who commanded the U.S. Seventh Army in the Mediterranean and European theaters of World War II, but is best known for his leadership of the U.S. Third Army in France and Germany following the Allied invasion of Normandy in June 1944 has been quoted as said: "Wars may be fought with weapons, but they are won by men. It is the spirit of men who
Dr. Mahmoud A. Suleiman is an author, columnist and a blogger. His blog is http://thussudan.wordpress.com/
August 12, 2017 (NYALA) - South Darfur security services arrested the head of the Falata tribe Shura Council Abdallah Mohamed Arshu, in front of the Al-Jabal Mosque after he left the evening prayers. after protesting against the search operations for some individuals people accused of stealing cattle.
A member of the Falata tribal body, Mohamed Ahmed Saleh told Sudan Tribune that a force of the military intelligence Friday arrested Arshu, in front of the Al-Jabal neighbourhood mosque after the evening prayer.
"He was arrested because of his vitriolic criticism for search operations conducted by the army in his tribal areas (in Tullus locality) during a meeting of the Native Administration leaders with the Vice-President Hasabo Abdel Rahman who visited the state recently in a campaign for weapons collection".
Two weeks ago, security forces carried out large-scale searches in Rajag Serqaila and Damsu areas of the Falata tribe in South Darfur for weapons and individuals accused of stealing cattle belonging to the Salamat tribe.
At the time, another Falata tribal leader, Youssef Abashar, accused the security forces of exceeding their mission and stealing the belongings of civilians and conducting search operations for women in a humiliating manner.
Sudanese government directed Darfur authorities to deal roughly with the tribal leaders who encourage attacks on the other tribes. The orders come within the framework of a new policy to stem the intercommunal violence.
(ST)
August 12, 2017 (JUBA) – The International Organization for Migration (IOM) says rapid responses are critical to stemming a cholera outbreak that has afflicted South Sudan for more than a year, exacerbating an already dire humanitarian situation that has left approximately four million people displaced by the ongoing conflict.
“In a country with mass displacement and severe levels of food insecurity, the effect of the continued cholera outbreak on the health of vulnerable populations is acute,” Beldina Gikundi, IOM's migration health emergency officer in South Sudan said in a statement.
According to the migration agency, since 18 June 2016, over 18,000 cholera cases, including 328 deaths have been reported in South Sudan as the organization's health and water, sanitation and hygiene teams continue to respond to the outbreak through case management and preventive measures across the country.
Disease outbreaks are particularly dangerous for displaced and vulnerable populations, such as children under five years of age, who account for over one-in-five cholera cases reported in 2017.
Many of the locations experiencing outbreaks are in proximity to the Nile River, increasing the rainy season's impact on the cholera outbreak and threat of spreading further, the migration agency said.
“As we saw the outbreak continue, even during the dry season in 2017, we expect to see the trend persist throughout the rainy season, which leaves as much as 60 per cent of the country inaccessible by road,” said Gikundi, adding that “sustained and flexible responses are crucial to stemming the continued transmission of the disease in this extremely challenging context.”
Since the outbreak began, IOM teams have reportedly been deployed to cholera-affected areas across the country. Teams, according to the agency, have continued to conduct hygiene promotion, core relief item distribution and borehole repairs in Bentiu and Rubkona towns, and Wau town and surrounding areas, as well as in UN protection of civilian sites across the war-torn nation.
In collaboration with the UN World Health Organization (WHO) and the Ministry of Health, IOM health teams are reportedly conducting oral cholera vaccination (OCV) campaigns across the country.
Meanwhile, in an effort to reduce cholera cases in outbreak areas, IOM said it recently managed to reach more than 39,900 people in parts of Jonglei and Unity and is currently on the ground in Warrap, preparing to lead an upcoming OCV campaign targeting more than 189,000 people in Tonj East county.
(ST).