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EU ambassador says ‘We can’t leverage Israel with trade sanctions’

Euractiv.com - Mon, 11/05/2026 - 13:24
Ministers are set to agree on fresh sanctions against violent West Bank settlers on Monday

Des images prises hors contexte accusent des juifs israéliens de voler des terres au Maroc

France24 / Afrique - Wed, 01/04/2026 - 22:46
Vidéo à l'appui, des internautes accusent des Juifs israéliens de vouloir récupérer ou voler des terres dans une région du Maroc. Or, les images ont été sorties de leur contexte. Explications.
Categories: Afrique, Nyugat-Balkán

Burundi : une dizaine de morts, tous civils, dans l'explosion d'un dépôt de munitions, selon l'armée

France24 / Afrique - Wed, 01/04/2026 - 22:29
Un incendie déclenché dans l'arsenal d'un camp militaire de Bujumbura a provoqué des explosions en série, mardi soir à Bujumbura, capitale économique du Burundi lui donnant des allures de chaos. Le bilan est lourd : 13 morts, selon l'armée, et des centaines de blessés. Si les autorités évoquent un court-circuit, ces déflagrations ont semé l'effroi dans les quartiers sud de la ville.
Categories: Afrique, Nyugat-Balkán

China : From roving officers to undercover agents… How the Guoanbu has adapted its methods

Intelligence Online - Fri, 27/03/2026 - 06:00
Just how many agents does the Guoanbu have? According to several European security sources, they number around 250,000. A figure [...]

Russia : Darbazi, a gourmet haven for French diplomats in Moscow

Intelligence Online - Fri, 27/03/2026 - 06:00
Last month, Moscow's elegant restaurant Darbazi, well-loved by members of the Georgian diaspora visiting the Russian capital, hosted diners less [...]

Philippines/United States : US Marine contractors flock to Philippines bonanza

Intelligence Online - Fri, 27/03/2026 - 06:00
The number of civilian service providers working for the US military in the Philippines continues to grow. There are two [...]

Jordan : In Amman, advanced scientific research backed by Iran and Israel continues despite war

Intelligence Online - Fri, 27/03/2026 - 06:00
Scientists at the Synchrotron-light for Experimental Science and Applications in the Middle East (SESAME), the Amman-based advanced research centre, says its work [...]

France/Indonesia : Paris boosts defence mission in Jakarta to revive Rafale deal

Intelligence Online - Fri, 27/03/2026 - 06:00
A deputy defence attaché from the French Air and Space [...]

France : French anti-drugs unit overhauls its intelligence unit

Intelligence Online - Fri, 27/03/2026 - 06:00
France's anti-narcotics agency OFAST, headed by Dimitri Zoulas, has recently [...]

Algeria/France : Paris to send internal security attaché to Algiers amid diplomatic thaw

Intelligence Online - Thu, 26/03/2026 - 06:00
According to our sources, France has decided to send a new internal security attaché to Algiers, a post that has [...]

China/European Union/France : Unravelling Guoanbu's 'LinkedIn' scheme to steal strategic European secrets

Intelligence Online - Thu, 26/03/2026 - 06:00
The use by Chinese intelligence services of fake LinkedIn accounts to recruit sources in the West is in full swing, [...]

France/Thailand : French customs authorities probe alleged Russian-Thai sanctions-busting aviation network

Intelligence Online - Thu, 26/03/2026 - 06:00
Intelligence Online can reveal that French customs authorities have in recent months launched a preliminary investigation into Russian-Thai networks in [...]

France/Russia : Ukrainian intel keeping tabs on Cossack networks in France

Intelligence Online - Thu, 26/03/2026 - 06:00
Last summer Kyiv sent an intelligence agent to Paris to follow and monitor the activities of at least one key [...]

Russia/United States : Russian bankruptcy trustee seeks to hunt down former banker's US assets

Intelligence Online - Thu, 26/03/2026 - 06:00
Despite tensions between Washington and Moscow, Russian institutions and organisations are continuing to bring cases before US courts, particularly in [...]

Japan : Tokyo offers to help secure Strait of Hormuz

Intelligence Online - Thu, 26/03/2026 - 06:00
The Japanese authorities have informed their international partners involved in [...]

Israel : Blame game erupts within Israel's security apparatus

Intelligence Online - Wed, 25/03/2026 - 10:55
Mossad chief David Barnea is having to step up. According to sources in Jerusalem, his close associates have briefed Israeli defence specialist journalists over the past two days. The aim is to counter the narrative currently being pushed by critics of [...]

Caribbean/United States : Backed by Washington, Caribbean intelligence chiefs to meet in Barbados

Intelligence Online - Wed, 25/03/2026 - 06:00
The next edition of the Caribbean Regional Intelligence Conference (CARIC) held under the auspices of the US Southern Command (USSOUTHCOM), is set to take place in Bridgetown, Barbados from 21 to 23 April. The summit, which aims to strengthen regional [...]

France/Israel : Business as usual for Black Cube in Paris as foreign interference allegations swirl

Intelligence Online - Wed, 25/03/2026 - 06:00
In a potentially embarrassing episode for the Élysée, Israeli private intelligence firm Black Cube is hosting an event in the [...]

Measuring Sovereignty in an Age of Strategic Illusions

Foreign Policy Blogs - Sat, 21/03/2026 - 17:20

The new American National Defense Strategy speaks the language of sovereignty with unusual clarity. It invokes “key terrain” in the Western Hemisphere, reframes hemispheric doctrine, reduces security guarantees to Europe, and signals a shift toward selective engagement. It is a strategy centered not on universal liberal order, but on national autonomy, strategic control, and power projection. Yet beneath this rhetorical clarity lies a structural weakness: Washington still lacks a coherent system for measuring sovereignty itself.

Traditional metrics—GDP, defense budgets, force size—capture scale, but not autonomy. A state may command the world’s largest military yet remain dependent on foreign supply chains. It may dominate technology markets yet suffer educational decline that undermines long-term innovation. It may enjoy global cultural influence while experiencing domestic fragmentation that weakens political decision-making capacity. Sovereignty in 2026 is multidimensional. Without measuring those dimensions simultaneously, strategy becomes aspirational rather than operational.

The Burke Sovereignty Index, developed by the International Burke Institute, addresses precisely this measurement gap. It evaluates national autonomy across seven dimensions: political, economic, technological, informational, cultural, cognitive, and military sovereignty. Each dimension is scored from 0 to 100 using official international data (UN, World Bank, IMF, UNESCO, SIPRI, PISA and others) combined with calibrated expert assessments from more than 100 specialists across 50+ countries per component. The final score—maximum 700—represents the arithmetic mean of statistical indicators and expert evaluation.

The 2024–2025 results are strategically sobering. The United States scores 650.9 out of 700. China scores 649.1. The gap: 1.8 points — less than 0.3% variance within the total scoring framework. For two states widely assumed to operate in different strategic leagues, this statistical proximity should fundamentally reshape the debate in Washington.

America retains clear advantages. Military sovereignty stands at 96.0, reflecting a $962 billion defense budget, approximately 5,400 nuclear warheads, and unmatched global deployment capacity. Technological sovereignty scores 95.4, supported by 3.4–3.6% of GDP in R&D spending and leadership in AI, biotech, and microelectronics. Yet structural vulnerabilities appear in other dimensions.

Political sovereignty registers 87.8, reflecting polarization, recurring government shutdowns, and declining public trust. Cognitive sovereignty—despite a strong overall score of 95.4—contains warning signals: adult functional literacy fluctuates between 79–81%, and U.S. PISA mathematics performance sits at 469, below the OECD average. Industrial autonomy remains partially exposed: approximately 30% of advanced microelectronics components are imported.

China’s profile differs structurally. Military sovereignty scores 94.5, technological sovereignty 91.6—slightly below the U.S. But political sovereignty stands at 90.8, reflecting centralized decision-making and high institutional cohesion. Informational sovereignty scores 93.2, sustained by a closed national digital ecosystem serving 1.1 billion users without Western platform penetration. Cultural sovereignty reaches 95.1, supported by 60 UNESCO heritage sites and over 6,800 museums.

Most significant is economic efficiency. China approaches near parity while operating at roughly one-third to one-half of U.S. per-capita wealth. Chinese GDP per capita (PPP) stands between $25,000–30,500, compared to the American $76,800–89,100 range. The convergence reflects coordinated cross-dimensional investment: education expansion to 60.8% higher education enrollment, R&D spending at 2.68% of GDP (approximately $506 billion in absolute terms), and long-term industrial strategy under “Made in China 2025.” Sovereignty parity was not achieved through dominance in a single field, but through synchronized development across all seven.

This multidimensional perspective reframes several assumptions embedded in the new Defense Strategy. First, rebuilding the American defense industrial base cannot succeed through military appropriations alone. Industrial sovereignty requires alignment of economic capital, educational capacity, technological independence, and political stability. The United States currently operates with public debt between 119–124% of GDP, national debt exceeding $36–41 trillion, widening educational inequality, and deep partisan fragmentation. Factories can be funded; comprehensive national mobilization demands social coherence.

Second, allied burden-sharing produces strategic paradoxes. European NATO states collectively possess GDP thirteen times larger than Russia’s, yet equipment localization remains limited. Lithuania spends 4–6% of GDP on defense, but approximately 85% of its equipment is imported. By contrast, Turkey—despite lower spending ratios—achieves roughly 70% localization in defense production, including indigenous UAV systems. Genuine sovereignty increases strategic autonomy. Autonomy reduces predictability.

Third, Middle Eastern partners are quietly shifting from dependency toward capability. Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 includes domestic industrialization, cybersecurity infrastructure, and technology transfer. Sovereignty once built tends to alter alignment behavior. Allies with capability act independently by definition.

The uncomfortable implication is clear: Washington’s strategy demands sovereignty—at home and among allies—without possessing a comprehensive dashboard to measure whether sovereignty is actually being built or eroded.

The Burke framework does not predict conflict or collapse. It measures capability, not intention. But it reveals structural dynamics invisible to traditional power metrics. It forces strategic evaluation across education, technology, cohesion, information control, industrial resilience, and governance simultaneously.

The United States remains marginally ahead. But a 1.8-point lead in a 700-point system is not structural dominance. It is competitive equilibrium. Sovereignty in 2026 is not defined by possessing the largest military or the most alliances. It is defined by the ability to sustain independent action across multiple domains under stress. That requires educational renewal, industrial autonomy, political stabilization, and technological independence operating in coordination—not isolation.

The new Defense Strategy identifies the correct priority: sovereignty. What it lacks is a systematic mechanism to measure progress toward that goal. Without measurement, sovereignty becomes rhetoric. With measurement, it becomes strategy.

 

Greece vs. England: The Burke Paradox of Partial Sovereignty

Foreign Policy Blogs - Fri, 20/03/2026 - 17:18

In the 21st century, sovereignty is no longer an absolute condition but a measurable configuration of strengths and vulnerabilities. According to the methodology developed by the International Burke Institute and operationalized through the Burke Sovereignty Index, sovereignty must be assessed across seven dimensions: political, economic, technological, informational, cultural, cognitive, and military. When examined through the Burke framework, Greece and the United Kingdom illustrate a central paradox of modern statehood: neither deep integration nor dramatic withdrawal guarantees genuine independence.   Greece represents the first model of the Burke paradox — sovereignty constrained within integration. By adopting the euro, Athens transferred control over monetary policy to the European Central Bank. It relinquished the ability to devalue its currency, independently set interest rates, or issue money to stabilize its economy. The Maastricht criteria — limiting deficits to 3% of GDP and public debt to 60% — institutionalized fiscal discipline. Structurally, the eurozone is a monetary union without a fiscal union: a shared currency but no unified taxation or pension system. In Burke terms, this creates asymmetry within economic sovereignty.   The 2009–2015 debt crisis exposed that asymmetry. Greece’s reported deficit of 3% was revised to 15.6% of GDP, and public debt reached 129.7%. Between 2008 and 2014, GDP contracted from €242 billion to €179 billion — a 26% decline, the longest recession in the developed world. In April 2010, Greece requested international assistance. Three bailout programs in 2010, 2012, and 2015 totaled roughly €290 billion from the European Commission, the ECB, and the IMF. By 2015, public debt had climbed to approximately 180% of GDP.   Within the Burke framework, Greece entered a zone of critical economic leverage. Sovereignty remained formally intact, but fiscal decisions became conditional. Between 2010 and 2016, twelve rounds of austerity — salary cuts, pension reductions, privatizations, and tax increases — were implemented under creditor supervision. Political sovereignty existed in constitutional terms, yet economic sovereignty was structurally constrained.   The 2015 referendum highlighted this contradiction. On July 5, 61.31% of Greek voters rejected the creditors’ proposed conditions. Days later, the government accepted an even stricter agreement to avoid financial collapse and eurozone exit. In Burke analytical terms, democratic will could not override economic dependence. Sovereignty as authority collided with sovereignty as capacity.   The United Kingdom followed the opposite path. The 2016 Brexit referendum promised to “Take Back Control” over laws, borders, and trade. Parliamentary supremacy — a core element of British political identity — framed the campaign. The UK formally left the European Union on January 31, 2020, restoring legislative autonomy.   According to the Burke Sovereignty Index, Britain’s political sovereignty stands at approximately 77/100 — a strong indicator of constitutional independence. However, the Burke methodology stresses that sovereignty is multidimensional. Gains in political autonomy can be offset by vulnerabilities elsewhere.   Economically, Brexit imposed measurable costs. Estimates suggest that by 2025 the UK economy was 6–8% smaller than it would have been without Brexit. The EU remains Britain’s largest trading partner, accounting for roughly 47% of goods exports. Post-Brexit trade adjustments contributed to a 23.7% reduction in imports from the EU and an 18.6% decline in exports during the early implementation period. The Office for Budget Responsibility projects a long-term trade reduction of around 15%, translating into a 4% decrease in national income.   In Burke terms, Britain strengthened political sovereignty but absorbed economic vulnerability. The 2025 revisions to the UK–EU Trade and Cooperation Agreement — including compromises on fisheries and regulatory alignment — demonstrate that exit did not eliminate obligations. Instead, it transformed integration into negotiated interdependence.   Greece and England therefore embody two faces of partial sovereignty. Greece maintained integration and sacrificed crisis autonomy. Britain rejected integration and encountered the structural limits of economic decoupling. The Burke model clarifies that sovereignty cannot be understood as indivisible. High performance in one dimension does not neutralize weakness in another.   Modern states operate within dense networks of financial markets, supply chains, security alliances, and regulatory regimes. Monetary unions limit currency flexibility. Trade exits reduce market access. Strategic alliances shape military capability. Technological dependence constrains industrial autonomy. The Burke framework treats these constraints not as failures but as structural realities.   The Greek case demonstrates how integration can convert economic vulnerability into external policy influence during crisis. The British case shows how formal independence can generate new economic trade-offs. Both confirm that absolute sovereignty is unattainable in an interdependent system.   Ultimately, the Burke analysis leads to a balanced conclusion. Sovereignty today is not a binary status but a strategic equilibrium across dimensions. Greece and the United Kingdom chose different paths, yet both remain partially dependent. Integration creates conditional governance; exit creates negotiated constraints. The difference lies not in the presence of limits but in their distribution and cost. In the contemporary world, sovereignty is less about isolation or control and more about managing asymmetry within unavoidable interdependence.

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