Defence`s Feeds

En réplique à l'agression israélo-américaine, ce qui reste du régime iranien des mollahs tente d'embraser l'ensemble du Proche-Orient. Le « président de la paix » Donald Trump, mué en chef d'une guerre en forme de jeu vidéo, a tenté sans succès d'amener ses « alliés » à l'aider à imposer la réouverture du détroit d'Ormuz, bloqué par Téhéran depuis le début des hostilités.

- Défense en ligne / États-Unis, Iran, Israël, Conflits

So what is this now? A MEB(-)?

 

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 I'm sure everyone on this blog has heard that all this is about China.  Supposedly it started with the Panama Canal dust up, spread to Mexico in the guise of fighting the cartels, zoomed over to Venezuela to stop the flow of oil to China from there and now it culminates with Iran.

If I'm stating it correctly this is a direct shot across the bow to Chinese energy supplies and some are stating that it will slow down their AI program (I seriously doubt that...too much solar and nuclear going on).

Others are stating that its all about to petrodollar.  Iran talked about trading for oil only in the Chinese dollar and that some of the other countries "targeted" were all about that shit too.

I don't know what to think of it but if true then its some big time chess going on that the media is either missing or not telling us about.

Of course there are other theories too.  But this one sings the most to me.  What do ya'll think?

NOTE!!!!

I might be mistating all of the above.  Hopefully I gave enough cliffsnotes to get most to understand the direction I was heading.

 

At the European Council, Parliament President Roberta Metsola addressed three main topics: competitiveness, energy and geopolitical developments.

Source : © European Union, 2026 - EP

The International Trade committee adopted its position on Thursday on two proposals implementing certain tariff aspects of the EU-US Turnberry trade deal.
Committee on International Trade

Source : © European Union, 2026 - EP

Length of video : 37'

Disclaimer : The interpretation of debates serves to facilitate communication and does not constitute an authentic record of proceedings. Only the original speech or the revised written translation is authentic.
Source : © European Union, 2026 - EP

Length of video : 30'

Disclaimer : The interpretation of debates serves to facilitate communication and does not constitute an authentic record of proceedings. Only the original speech or the revised written translation is authentic.
Source : © European Union, 2026 - EP

A number of Western intelligence services have reached the same conclusion over the last few weeks. While Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, in office since last March, has opted for a more open policy towards China than his predecessor, Justin [...]

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Israeli investigations group Shibumi Strategy is believed to be owed a six-figure sum from its former, now defunct client Builder.ai, [...]

Foreign powers are having to come up with increasingly imaginative ways of gaining influence within the INALCO school of Oriental [...]

French National Police (DGPN) Director General Louis Laugier has appointed [...]

US President Donald Trump, who has been pressing Japan and [...]

Le président tchadien, Mahamat Idriss Déby, a ordonné à l’armée de « riposter à compter de cette nuit à toute attaque ». Une roquette propulsée fin février depuis le Soudan avait déjà tué fin février 15 militaires et 8 civils dans la ville frontalière.

The Escalation Trap works like this: pic.twitter.com/AeJwoYzkEO

— Robert A. Pape (@ProfessorPape) March 15, 2026

Most wars escalate beyond what leaders intend.

I study this dynamic — the Escalation Trap.

The Iran war is now showing the same strategic patterns seen in Vietnam and Kosovo.

I write short strategic briefings explaining what to watch next.

Subscribe:
https://t.co/JdhoWKJ5P0 pic.twitter.com/kOijVQFtpI

— Robert A. Pape (@ProfessorPape) March 13, 2026 I don't see the connection he's making with past wars BUT I DO agree with his premise. So what is the "escalation trap" here? I believe its the same as we found in Iraq and Afghanistan. We can win the battles, but controlling the populations while fighting a counter insurgency is the main risk I think.
We've been incredibly successful up to this point in the war.  The Iranian Navy is done.  The Army is on its back foot and the elite forces are hollowed out.
Uprisings by the people are increasing and local security forces are in a bind.
My worry is that once they setup a replacement govt the call will go out to provide "stabilization" forces.
The Israelis can't participate.
The Europeans won't participate.
That leaves the US (we broke it, we own it) and in essence UN peacekeepers (mercenaries) from undeveloped or developing countries to be paid a price to provide troops.
This means years on the ground while every terrorist group in the region attempts to flood in to kill Americans trying to rebuild the country.  It means holders on from the previous regime trying to reclaim power.
It means terror attacks on our home soil as muslims are further radicalized.
It won't be a typical escalation trap but the sad old tale of how America gets its shit pushed in despite having the most powerful military in the world, even after we literally destroyed the enemy.
Hope I'm wrong.
But one thing is true.
We can take out any country on this planet.  We just can't rebuild after we tear it up.